{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a862d2e-b1c6-427c-8c5b-1ccf7a54935a", "symbol": "603273", "name": "Jiangsu Teeyer Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -60.282, "architecture_energy": 50.807, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 88.994, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.94, "rotation_up": 27.2, "upward_expansion": 8.43, "deceleration": 60.8, "rotation_down": 47.8, "downward_expansion": 79.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.420667, 13.491451, 14.527927, 15.525776 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 13.9, "trend_reference": 16.845634, "distance_from_trend": -0.17486, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.206791, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.276298, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.683862, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.264939, "excess_performance": -0.221735, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.17486, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105396, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.276298, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.204874, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.226839, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109155, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.264939, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.325708, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12588799, "relative_activity": 1.412273, "balance": 0.325708, "dry_up": 1.341686, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.09804, "annualized_volatility": 0.335711, "from_high_reference": -0.419126, "from_low_reference": 0.136549 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.845634, "fair_value_reference": 19.206791, "structural_low": 12.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.076598, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.035915, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": 0.023893, "worst_return": -0.163596, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.218183, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.194795, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.218183, "worst_return": -0.218183, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, 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19.28414, "relative_strength": -28.767938, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.203659, "energy": 66.14178, "activity_lines": [ 13.156, 13.571404, 14.95487, 15.975261 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.53, "volume": 10380195, "typical_volume": 8971405.75, "trend": 17.081214, "fair_value": 19.243901, "relative_strength": -23.293689, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.653845, "energy": 57.878177, "activity_lines": [ 13.255333, 13.469804, 14.709327, 15.731016 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 13.9, "volume": 12588799, "typical_volume": 8913857.55, "trend": 16.845634, "fair_value": 19.206791, "relative_strength": -22.683862, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.281609, "energy": 50.806892, "activity_lines": [ 13.420667, 13.491451, 14.527927, 15.525776 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }