{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a93af89-b2ac-46e6-8cf1-6b347a9c3b04", "symbol": "RUDH", "name": "RBC Quant U.S. Dividend Leaders (CAD Hedged) ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 73.867, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 90.835, "architecture_energy": 91.534, "architecture_maturity": 28.147, "architecture_confidence": 69.656, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.94, "rotation_up": 83.6, "upward_expansion": 98.34, "deceleration": 40.05, "rotation_down": 12.65, "downward_expansion": 20.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 30.491603, 30.150512, 29.725943, 29.2781 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 31.02, "trend_reference": 28.806631, "distance_from_trend": 0.076835, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 26.059019, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.190375, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.377781, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.079178, "excess_performance": -0.041243, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.076835, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018125, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.190375, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.039201, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.033778, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030248, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.079178, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.811111, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4500, "relative_activity": 1.140684, "balance": 2.811111, "dry_up": 0.925222, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.015132, "annualized_volatility": 0.099478, "from_high_reference": -0.011472, "from_low_reference": 0.172422 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.806631, "fair_value_reference": 26.059019, "structural_low": 26.458057, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 37, "median_return": 0.016498, "positive_rate": 0.648649, "directional_follow_through": 0.648649, "median_excess_return": -0.002649, "regime_survival": 0.783784, "best_return": 0.076903, "worst_return": -0.083044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": 0.035262, "positive_rate": 0.615385, "directional_follow_through": 0.615385, "median_excess_return": -0.009738, "regime_survival": 0.615385, "best_return": 0.14967, "worst_return": -0.153686, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.073635, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.008442, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.208359, "worst_return": -0.1448, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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28.512726 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 29.645336, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 32035.0, "trend": 28.463031, "fair_value": 25.639238, "relative_strength": -5.746532, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 69.305936, "energy": 76.024762, "activity_lines": [ 29.543368, 29.373494, 28.787314, 28.594223 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 29.166008, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 31770.0, "trend": 28.488653, "fair_value": 25.694609, "relative_strength": -7.024036, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.455707, "energy": 50.797681, "activity_lines": [ 29.420918, 29.371009, 28.854223, 28.639577 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 29.69521, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 5320.0, "trend": 28.523983, "fair_value": 25.7551, "relative_strength": -5.770518, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.162405, "energy": 58.15205, "activity_lines": [ 29.490505, 29.452122, 28.969524, 28.717419 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.114578, "volume": 2800, "typical_volume": 5045.0, "trend": 28.560879, "fair_value": 25.816269, "relative_strength": -4.320375, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.131288, "energy": 79.603574, "activity_lines": [ 29.706858, 29.590441, 29.117535, 28.820038 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 30.014729, "volume": 2800, "typical_volume": 4745.0, "trend": 28.59617, "fair_value": 25.874062, "relative_strength": -4.277134, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.341728, "energy": 83.295005, "activity_lines": [ 29.839663, 29.687382, 29.247948, 28.913835 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 30.110001, "volume": 3900, "typical_volume": 4190.0, "trend": 28.624636, "fair_value": 25.93183, "relative_strength": -3.99268, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.916446, "energy": 85.863534, "activity_lines": [ 29.967272, 29.784768, 29.379491, 29.011502 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 30.450001, "volume": 3400, "typical_volume": 3905.0, "trend": 28.713087, "fair_value": 25.993015, "relative_strength": -2.280851, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 81.318175, "energy": 89.390847, "activity_lines": [ 30.177237, 29.925362, 29.533072, 29.129267 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.02, "volume": 4500, "typical_volume": 3945.0, "trend": 28.806631, "fair_value": 26.059019, "relative_strength": -3.377781, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 90.835479, "energy": 91.534366, "activity_lines": [ 30.491603, 30.150512, 29.725943, 29.2781 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }