{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a9d028c-4624-4390-99bd-af2d8343d04b", "symbol": "HSM", "name": "Samuel Heath & Sons plc", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -75.824, "architecture_energy": 68.447, "architecture_maturity": 49.39, "architecture_confidence": 77.456, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 9.63, "rotation_up": 10.22, "upward_expansion": 13.25, "deceleration": 39.42, "rotation_down": 77.98, "downward_expansion": 91.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.73, 2.89, 3.041667, 3.12741 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 2.55, "trend_reference": 3.258275, "distance_from_trend": -0.217377, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 3.354288, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.239779, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.208657, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.337585, "excess_performance": -0.38882, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.217377, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.03833, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.239779, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.184096, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.292087, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.209442, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.337585, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.0, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 712, "relative_activity": 1.739768, "balance": 0.0, "dry_up": 3.068418, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.134193, "annualized_volatility": 0.270847, "from_high_reference": -0.3625, "from_low_reference": 0.133333 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.258275, "fair_value_reference": 3.354288, "structural_low": 2.25, "invalidation": "Reclaiming 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"close": 3.0, "volume": 1270, "typical_volume": 177.35, "trend": 3.341556, "fair_value": 3.388611, "relative_strength": -15.387108, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.676678, "energy": 53.332118, "activity_lines": [ 3.1, 3.163636, 3.208571, 3.267494 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.0, "volume": 103, "typical_volume": 175.35, "trend": 3.328236, "fair_value": 3.381472, "relative_strength": -15.883339, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.670263, "energy": 55.497011, "activity_lines": [ 3.05, 3.127273, 3.185238, 3.245458 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.0, "volume": 194, "typical_volume": 184.9, "trend": 3.314916, "fair_value": 3.374334, "relative_strength": -16.627284, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.009728, "energy": 56.29909, "activity_lines": [ 3.016667, 3.095455, 3.163571, 3.224282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.55, "volume": 4014, "typical_volume": 385.6, "trend": 3.286596, "fair_value": 3.364311, "relative_strength": -29.548647, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.453881, "energy": 63.264611, "activity_lines": [ 2.85, 2.986364, 3.100714, 3.174932 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.55, "volume": 712, "typical_volume": 409.25, "trend": 3.258275, "fair_value": 3.354288, "relative_strength": -29.208657, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.824398, "energy": 68.446945, "activity_lines": [ 2.73, 2.89, 3.041667, 3.12741 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }