{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1a9fab88-1470-4c8c-9bc1-8b78bcc83e67", "symbol": "WINK", "name": "M Winkworth PLC", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -16.061, "architecture_energy": 12.221, "architecture_maturity": 13.004, "architecture_confidence": 71.906, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.37, "rotation_up": 34.73, "upward_expansion": 35.86, "deceleration": 32.47, "rotation_down": 26.37, "downward_expansion": 41.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 174.34916, 173.269764, 172.548299, 172.854347 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 170.0, "trend_reference": 174.552527, "distance_from_trend": -0.026081, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 183.232406, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.072217, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -14.354937, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.085847, "excess_performance": -0.137082, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026081, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.030592, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.072217, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.021568, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.143549, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.011365, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085847, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.9381, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 48805, "relative_activity": 2.928997, "balance": 0.9381, "dry_up": 1.715988, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.056263, "annualized_volatility": 0.162038, "from_high_reference": -0.19004, "from_low_reference": 0.08301 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 174.552527, "fair_value_reference": 183.232406, 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"relative_strength": -11.317559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -40.653014, "energy": 23.391204, "activity_lines": [ 171.187487, 171.215142, 171.435522, 173.120975 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 174.2458, "volume": 14169, "typical_volume": 14862.15, "trend": 175.9622, "fair_value": 182.79422, "relative_strength": -11.573421, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -14.6132, "energy": 6.729974, "activity_lines": [ 172.28248, 171.71794, 171.675246, 172.976511 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 177.5, "volume": 37307, "typical_volume": 15903.25, "trend": 175.681159, "fair_value": 182.956307, "relative_strength": -10.481516, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -1.29895, "energy": 10.695832, "activity_lines": [ 174.512487, 172.780669, 172.216423, 173.075723 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 177.5, "volume": 14091, "typical_volume": 15721.75, "trend": 175.250173, "fair_value": 183.118395, "relative_strength": -10.956777, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 16.684985, "energy": 18.540138, "activity_lines": [ 176.034713, 173.752489, 172.745536, 173.193068 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 170.0, "volume": 48805, "typical_volume": 16662.7, "trend": 174.552527, "fair_value": 183.232406, "relative_strength": -14.354937, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.061442, "energy": 12.221203, "activity_lines": [ 174.34916, 173.269764, 172.548299, 172.854347 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }