{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1aaa3d36-ddfe-4fbb-90d8-db25a61d51bb",
    "symbol": "DINT",
    "name": "DAVIS SELECT INTERNATIONAL ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 57.181,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 72.591,
    "architecture_energy": 64.869,
    "architecture_maturity": 7.136,
    "architecture_confidence": 74.671,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 30.21,
        "rotation_up": 63.63,
        "upward_expansion": 84.7,
        "deceleration": 48.24,
        "rotation_down": 12.78,
        "downward_expansion": 13.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        29.732407,
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        29.12351,
        28.829415
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 30.4949,
    "trend_reference": 28.65524,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.0642,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 23.024066,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.324479,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.339997,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.041848,
    "excess_performance": -0.083777,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0642,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.014064,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.324479,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021576,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.0334,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.009581,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041848,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.941728,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 35766,
      "relative_activity": 0.539814,
      "balance": 0.941728,
      "dry_up": 0.698581,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032438,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.193429,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008296,
      "from_low_reference": 0.205716
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 28.65524,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.024066,
      "structural_low": 25.77,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": 0.004018,
        "positive_rate": 0.52381,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.52381,
        "median_excess_return": -0.00995,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.245758,
        "worst_return": -0.135614,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "positive_rate": 0.875,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.875,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010522,
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        "worst_return": -0.092186,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "median_excess_return": 0.002636,
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        "worst_return": 0.047395,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": 0.067264,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "trend": 27.97932,
        "fair_value": 21.924701,
        "relative_strength": -3.749157,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 9.157813,
        "energy": 17.155711,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 91838.1,
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        "energy": 25.737713,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "relative_strength": -2.381883,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 99568.1,
        "trend": 28.163436,
        "fair_value": 22.155127,
        "relative_strength": -5.421109,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 45.963027,
        "energy": 41.022474,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 94385.1,
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        "fair_value": 22.231976,
        "relative_strength": -6.131173,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 35.776753,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 91979.35,
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        "fair_value": 22.31069,
        "relative_strength": -5.355727,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 91388.9,
        "trend": 28.299547,
        "fair_value": 22.381914,
        "relative_strength": -5.524579,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 29.23,
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        "typical_volume": 90029.0,
        "trend": 28.355399,
        "fair_value": 22.453907,
        "relative_strength": -3.9209,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": -4.721628,
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        "energy": 29.326742,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 22.597985,
        "relative_strength": -5.663296,
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 12.970421,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 28.7404,
        "volume": 41046,
        "typical_volume": 84692.25,
        "trend": 28.508757,
        "fair_value": 22.66908,
        "relative_strength": -5.804499,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 33.665887,
        "energy": 14.823272,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 29.2288,
        "volume": 191724,
        "typical_volume": 75318.55,
        "trend": 28.556699,
        "fair_value": 22.738653,
        "relative_strength": -5.383057,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.988666,
        "energy": 17.834941,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.893847,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 28.87,
        "volume": 47936,
        "typical_volume": 70984.0,
        "trend": 28.586451,
        "fair_value": 22.807863,
        "relative_strength": -4.963672,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.925056,
        "energy": 15.209576,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.875087,
          28.905929,
          28.732908,
          28.600844
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 28.84,
        "volume": 58540,
        "typical_volume": 70584.35,
        "trend": 28.59322,
        "fair_value": 22.870401,
        "relative_strength": -4.39659,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.839567,
        "energy": 16.612569,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.870327,
          28.891729,
          28.783337,
          28.617202
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 30.0057,
        "volume": 42899,
        "typical_volume": 68293.1,
        "trend": 28.618077,
        "fair_value": 22.944289,
        "relative_strength": -1.59698,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.309206,
        "energy": 46.504716,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.279767,
          29.089165,
          28.937546,
          28.708329
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 30.4949,
        "volume": 35766,
        "typical_volume": 66256.1,
        "trend": 28.65524,
        "fair_value": 23.024066,
        "relative_strength": -3.339997,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.591024,
        "energy": 64.86913,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.732407,
          29.353807,
          29.12351,
          28.829415
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}