{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ac1616f-32dd-40d7-bc27-6c04486e0bb0", "symbol": "AVT", "name": "Avnet Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 76.336, "architecture_energy": 53.2, "architecture_maturity": 33.89, "architecture_confidence": 87.348, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.46, "rotation_up": 57.93, "upward_expansion": 80.23, "deceleration": 62.63, "rotation_down": 23.05, "downward_expansion": 6.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 90.98, 89.115091, 86.57399, 81.694869 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 96.53, "trend_reference": 74.866086, "distance_from_trend": 0.289369, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 53.591976, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.801202, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 33.235921, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.462461, "excess_performance": 0.275007, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.289369, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.22053, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.801202, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.162407, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.332359, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.095767, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.462461, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.526785, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8717474, "relative_activity": 1.419268, "balance": 2.526785, "dry_up": 0.946789, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076082, "annualized_volatility": 0.307813, "from_high_reference": -0.0347, "from_low_reference": 1.217417 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 74.866086, "fair_value_reference": 53.591976, "structural_low": 57.822226, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 28, "median_return": -0.007305, "positive_rate": 0.464286, "directional_follow_through": 0.464286, "median_excess_return": -0.011533, "regime_survival": 0.607143, "best_return": 0.26313, "worst_return": -0.142692, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.004515, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.070066, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.284764, "worst_return": -0.080398, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.014731, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.060148, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.178841, "worst_return": -0.097206, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 5920425.55, "trend": 73.294751, "fair_value": 53.246012, "relative_strength": 29.984255, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.437624, "energy": 42.914529, "activity_lines": [ 87.684667, 87.474433, 85.02107, 80.195821 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 96.53, "volume": 8717474, "typical_volume": 6142231.05, "trend": 74.866086, "fair_value": 53.591976, "relative_strength": 33.235921, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.33557, "energy": 53.200286, "activity_lines": [ 90.98, 89.115091, 86.57399, 81.694869 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }