{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1aeaaf5c-bd78-456f-b1d0-8eb465e643b6", "symbol": "CZWI", "name": "Citizens Community Bancorp Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 67.102, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.124, "architecture_energy": 22.324, "architecture_maturity": 83.696, "architecture_confidence": 71.44, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.98, "rotation_up": 35.57, "upward_expansion": 66.94, "deceleration": 82.4, "rotation_down": 28.75, "downward_expansion": 16.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 22.109311, 22.414609, 21.877842, 21.224084 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.91, "trend_reference": 20.316376, "distance_from_trend": 0.029219, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.588335, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.433337, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -1.759732, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.105926, "excess_performance": -0.081528, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029219, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088754, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.433337, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.153599, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017597, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07788, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.105926, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.722413, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 230764, "relative_activity": 0.791589, "balance": 1.722413, "dry_up": 0.91361, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075682, "annualized_volatility": 0.248675, "from_high_reference": -0.139611, "from_low_reference": 0.446182 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 20.316376, "fair_value_reference": 14.588335, "structural_low": 17.185678, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.01008, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.010044, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.153922, "worst_return": -0.14194, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.017647, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.007533, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.17749, "worst_return": -0.14266, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.044234, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.019384, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.272289, "worst_return": -0.365073, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"2026-07-24", "close": 23.442284, "volume": 172907, "typical_volume": 302748.4, "trend": 20.065739, "fair_value": 14.437173, "relative_strength": 16.998266, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.543241, "energy": 68.076298, "activity_lines": [ 23.279648, 22.694693, 21.834159, 21.061896 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.890079, "volume": 360002, "typical_volume": 299409.3, "trend": 20.220422, "fair_value": 14.515413, "relative_strength": 8.291816, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.201241, "energy": 42.246448, "activity_lines": [ 22.802829, 22.657204, 21.91174, 21.179595 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.91, "volume": 230764, "typical_volume": 291520.05, "trend": 20.316376, "fair_value": 14.588335, "relative_strength": -1.759732, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.124172, "energy": 22.324326, "activity_lines": [ 22.109311, 22.414609, 21.877842, 21.224084 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }