{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1af72386-f96d-4d31-9ab1-6f08f4b4f401", "symbol": "GSLC", "name": "Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Paris-Aligned Sustainable US Large Cap Equity UCITS ETF USD Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 94.219, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.381, "architecture_energy": 66.45, "architecture_maturity": 89.907, "architecture_confidence": 63.349, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.7, "rotation_up": 51.88, "upward_expansion": 78.5, "deceleration": 71.5, "rotation_down": 29.78, "downward_expansion": 16.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 103.009334, 102.856364, 101.503095, 99.418516 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 105.540001, "trend_reference": 97.151667, "distance_from_trend": 0.086343, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 81.160769, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.300382, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.412502, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.133255, "excess_performance": 0.050371, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086343, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036834, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.300382, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025178, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.004125, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050636, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.133255, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 438.666667, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1, "relative_activity": 0.005413, "balance": 438.666667, "dry_up": 0.001353, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.014869, "annualized_volatility": 0.136205, "from_high_reference": -0.000189, "from_low_reference": 0.214639 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.151667, "fair_value_reference": 81.160769, "structural_low": 86.889999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 40, "median_return": 0.015901, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.005565, "regime_survival": 0.775, "best_return": 0.058523, "worst_return": -0.093585, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.036612, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.020286, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.132729, "worst_return": -0.057275, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.087122, "positive_rate": 0.875, "directional_follow_through": 0.875, "median_excess_return": 0.018758, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.166583, "worst_return": -0.170916, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.827786, "energy": 90.39414, "activity_lines": [ 103.188001, 102.42091, 99.606096, 97.810344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 102.18, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 184.7, "trend": 96.272333, "fair_value": 80.371923, "relative_strength": -1.672739, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.029418, "energy": 83.424555, "activity_lines": [ 102.966667, 102.523273, 100.101429, 98.21185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 102.019997, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 184.7, "trend": 96.555, "fair_value": 80.625833, "relative_strength": -1.636414, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.820537, "energy": 65.019589, "activity_lines": [ 102.656, 102.538909, 100.543571, 98.582667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 100.760002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 184.7, "trend": 96.789333, "fair_value": 80.87641, "relative_strength": -2.855881, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.156669, "energy": 53.888069, "activity_lines": [ 101.98, 102.268, 100.820572, 98.853957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 105.540001, "volume": 1, "typical_volume": 184.75, "trend": 97.151667, "fair_value": 81.160769, "relative_strength": 0.412502, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.380672, "energy": 66.449505, "activity_lines": [ 103.009334, 102.856364, 101.503095, 99.418516 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }