{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1afd823b-7358-4154-a0e6-9ebcb7bcf517", "symbol": "TEVAN", "name": "Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Limited", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.789, "architecture_energy": 65.975, "architecture_maturity": 13.764, "architecture_confidence": 91.589, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.43, "rotation_up": 61.75, "upward_expansion": 82.22, "deceleration": 56.4, "rotation_down": 20.14, "downward_expansion": 11.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 599.700024, 594.97729, 583.88053, 576.397615 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 617.400024, "trend_reference": 571.914999, "distance_from_trend": 0.079531, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 357.609743, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.726463, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 19.530246, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.014069, "excess_performance": 0.040598, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.079531, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.051, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.726463, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016343, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.195302, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.061752, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.014069, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.193916, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 3.193916, "dry_up": 1.121229, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0224, "annualized_volatility": 0.292577, "from_high_reference": -0.014808, "from_low_reference": 1.024262 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 571.914999, "fair_value_reference": 357.609743, "structural_low": 509.459991, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.020588, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.022959, "regime_survival": 0.266667, "best_return": 0.259395, "worst_return": -0.159159, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.090925, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": 0.020957, "regime_survival": 0.125, "best_return": 0.259073, "worst_return": -0.283422, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.038554, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.053706, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.425668, "worst_return": -0.222738, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 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"start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.028738, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.024096, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.051273, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.075556, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.091148, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.041276, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-12", "end": "2026-03-06", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.551226, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-03-13", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.039874, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040753, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-24", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.077205, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 166.0, "volume": 600, "typical_volume": 307.8, "trend": 159.566332, "fair_value": 185.014422, "relative_strength": -4.402636, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 37.272693, 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568.154998, "fair_value": 351.777691, "relative_strength": 14.191297, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 39.63205, "energy": 34.136648, "activity_lines": [ 578.020019, 584.642557, 573.801192, 570.196966 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 617.400024, "volume": 825, "typical_volume": 184.6, "trend": 570.534998, "fair_value": 354.709743, "relative_strength": 20.728014, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.702075, "energy": 40.35187, "activity_lines": [ 589.523356, 590.447288, 578.955385, 573.374065 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 617.400024, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 183.95, "trend": 571.914999, "fair_value": 357.609743, "relative_strength": 19.530246, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.78895, "energy": 65.975401, "activity_lines": [ 599.700024, 594.97729, 583.88053, 576.397615 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }