{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b000b10-ccc6-4620-8523-f4319edbf16c", "symbol": "2559", "name": "MAXIS World Equity (MSCI ACWI) ETF", "exchange": "JPX", "country": "JP", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^N225", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.068, "architecture_energy": 63.032, "architecture_maturity": 95.0, "architecture_confidence": 60.955, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.19, "rotation_up": 27.86, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.99, "rotation_down": 49.7, "downward_expansion": 70.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 2973.2, 2934.218537, 9532.218973, 14000.201722 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 2982.0, "trend_reference": 19008.683203, "distance_from_trend": -0.843124, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19873.769763, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.849953, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -88.842763, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.886459, "excess_performance": -1.095717, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.843124, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.28543, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.849953, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.24568, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.888428, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.779936, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.886459, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.429397, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1735167, "relative_activity": 3.151293, "balance": 1.429397, "dry_up": 2.862611, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.859615, "annualized_volatility": 4.765437, "from_high_reference": -0.900928, "from_low_reference": 1.641921 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19008.683203, "fair_value_reference": 19873.769763, 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-88.936611, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.658014, "energy": 67.223899, "activity_lines": [ 2970.333333, 3381.371342, 10813.624163, 15084.548362 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2982.0, "volume": 1735167, "typical_volume": 550620.6, "trend": 19008.683203, "fair_value": 19873.769763, "relative_strength": -88.842763, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.067575, "energy": 63.031632, "activity_lines": [ 2973.2, 2934.218537, 9532.218973, 14000.201722 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }