{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b01c267-9243-42b4-b9ac-874b117d57e8", "symbol": "CW", "name": "Curtiss-Wright Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 66.703, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 0.799, "architecture_energy": 9.96, "architecture_maturity": 23.73, "architecture_confidence": 87.422, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.67, "rotation_up": 21.4, "upward_expansion": 44.66, "deceleration": 81.41, "rotation_down": 37.88, "downward_expansion": 33.99 }, "activity_lines": [ 718.307333, 732.191881, 734.017291, 724.63723 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 691.52, "trend_reference": 709.409559, "distance_from_trend": -0.025218, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 414.799529, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.667119, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.900181, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.065738, "excess_performance": -0.059887, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.025218, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.091488, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.667119, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.311833, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.029002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.172837, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.065738, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.914121, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1322280, "relative_activity": 1.024393, "balance": 0.914121, "dry_up": 0.890588, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.083159, "annualized_volatility": 0.235698, "from_high_reference": -0.144328, "from_low_reference": 0.487863 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 709.409559, "fair_value_reference": 414.799529, 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"Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 54.720885, "energy": 38.277009, "activity_lines": [ 757.208777, 751.246169, 735.746777, 719.469582 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 707.84, "volume": 1169241, "typical_volume": 1371719.45, "trend": 695.300147, "fair_value": 404.734133, "relative_strength": 4.623489, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.792007, "energy": 17.468309, "activity_lines": [ 740.36, 744.588054, 734.584166, 720.608345 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 750.19, "volume": 963091, "typical_volume": 1344940.1, "trend": 701.447377, "fair_value": 408.331098, "relative_strength": 10.958469, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.385552, "energy": 19.172099, "activity_lines": [ 740.954667, 746.013785, 737.416788, 724.149625 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 724.0, "volume": 1143650, "typical_volume": 1324414.6, "trend": 706.514752, "fair_value": 411.684654, "relative_strength": 5.551472, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 27.595745, "energy": 14.31945, "activity_lines": [ 734.268667, 741.992007, 737.426659, 725.604633 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 691.52, "volume": 1322280, "typical_volume": 1290793.6, "trend": 709.409559, "fair_value": 414.799529, "relative_strength": -2.900181, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 0.798618, "energy": 9.960188, "activity_lines": [ 718.307333, 732.191881, 734.017291, 724.63723 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }