{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b0a9813-b2e8-4204-bb22-1b2eaa1d85ac", "symbol": "BY6", "name": "BYD Company Limited", "exchange": "VIE", "country": "AT", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^ATX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -20.84, "architecture_energy": 25.183, "architecture_maturity": 76.493, "architecture_confidence": 62.835, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 54.6, "rotation_up": 41.02, "upward_expansion": 20.21, "deceleration": 43.91, "rotation_down": 17.13, "downward_expansion": 51.87 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.003, 9.691866, 9.783647, 10.004557 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 10.002, "trend_reference": 10.238844, "distance_from_trend": -0.023132, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.76954, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.023794, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.729403, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.015431, "excess_performance": -0.158815, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.023132, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.036703, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.023794, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.056743, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.247294, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013053, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.015431, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.905626, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8829, "relative_activity": 0.929104, "balance": 0.905626, "dry_up": 0.59712, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.059363, "annualized_volatility": 0.38135, "from_high_reference": -0.242273, "from_low_reference": 0.25025 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.238844, "fair_value_reference": 9.76954, "structural_low": 8.0, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.043194, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.019616, "regime_survival": 0.789474, "best_return": 0.186564, "worst_return": -0.166939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.04712, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.125601, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.392857, "worst_return": -0.137154, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.092103, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.062415, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.275798, "worst_return": -0.106457, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -46.60739, "energy": 35.089913, "activity_lines": [ 9.417, 9.374923, 9.819361, 10.050181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.75, "volume": 3770, "typical_volume": 10288.4, "trend": 10.271278, "fair_value": 9.740735, "relative_strength": -26.001151, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.103368, "energy": 25.115875, "activity_lines": [ 9.6024, 9.427335, 9.777821, 10.015152 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.36, "volume": 5377, "typical_volume": 10069.2, "trend": 10.254944, "fair_value": 9.754617, "relative_strength": -20.507353, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -13.414341, "energy": 21.544053, "activity_lines": [ 9.9338, 9.598654, 9.79671, 10.020876 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.002, "volume": 8829, "typical_volume": 9502.7, "trend": 10.238844, "fair_value": 9.76954, "relative_strength": -24.729403, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -20.839869, "energy": 25.182974, "activity_lines": [ 10.003, 9.691866, 9.783647, 10.004557 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }