{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b0dafec-3128-4bc1-b892-4792148f1b9a", "symbol": "MOG-A", "name": "Moog Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 45.356, "architecture_energy": 35.369, "architecture_maturity": 91.038, "architecture_confidence": 94.598, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.04, "rotation_up": 36.03, "upward_expansion": 64.96, "deceleration": 88.3, "rotation_down": 26.72, "downward_expansion": 17.3 }, "activity_lines": [ 399.938, 403.473818, 380.625328, 362.612862 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 403.11, "trend_reference": 342.145863, "distance_from_trend": 0.178182, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 207.350764, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.944097, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 25.666565, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.245759, "excess_performance": 0.120134, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.178182, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.194882, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.944097, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.238819, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.256666, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078219, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.245759, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.687421, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1290749, "relative_activity": 0.909187, "balance": 1.687421, "dry_up": 1.082092, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.081351, "annualized_volatility": 0.332292, "from_high_reference": -0.063656, "from_low_reference": 1.154816 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 342.145863, "fair_value_reference": 207.350764, "structural_low": 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"2026-07-17", "close": 393.31, "volume": 1330314, "typical_volume": 1586984.15, "trend": 327.790334, "fair_value": 201.703235, "relative_strength": 31.835848, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.941943, "energy": 61.433847, "activity_lines": [ 407.141333, 397.068545, 365.155673, 349.424379 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 410.13, "volume": 1117669, "typical_volume": 1597371.45, "trend": 333.098206, "fair_value": 203.704247, "relative_strength": 36.540471, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.126055, "energy": 57.812955, "activity_lines": [ 407.028, 402.579091, 371.616718, 354.736616 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 389.85, "volume": 2406135, "typical_volume": 1653235.0, "trend": 337.779982, "fair_value": 205.493012, "relative_strength": 27.105564, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.789999, "energy": 40.716118, "activity_lines": [ 400.089333, 402.465636, 375.700436, 358.398022 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 403.11, "volume": 1290749, "typical_volume": 1419673.15, "trend": 342.145863, "fair_value": 207.350764, "relative_strength": 25.666565, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.355712, "energy": 35.369269, "activity_lines": [ 399.938, 403.473818, 380.625328, 362.612862 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }