{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1b1e5a89-a67d-47f2-8429-b54c469c7d26",
    "symbol": "NNCL",
    "name": "Nava Nakorn Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 78.13,
    "architecture_energy": 77.689,
    "architecture_maturity": 37.435,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.816,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 0.0,
        "rotation_up": 82.45,
        "upward_expansion": 93.47,
        "deceleration": 45.78,
        "rotation_down": 11.02,
        "downward_expansion": 15.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        1.778667,
        1.739455,
        1.673723,
        1.628788
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 1.8,
    "trend_reference": 1.57489,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.142937,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 1.540502,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.16845,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 3.813373,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.230956,
    "excess_performance": 0.038631,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.142937,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.067212,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.16845,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.156978,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038134,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.093504,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.230956,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.957344,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1484400,
      "relative_activity": 2.31952,
      "balance": 3.957344,
      "dry_up": 1.890509,
      "accumulation_observations": 5,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031624,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.171465,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032258,
      "from_low_reference": 0.385965
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 1.57489,
      "fair_value_reference": 1.540502,
      "structural_low": 1.346835,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.010547,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.022579,
        "regime_survival": 0.714286,
        "best_return": 0.08,
        "worst_return": -0.09633,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.038462,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.031241,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.11277,
        "worst_return": -0.114679,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.086556,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.052235,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.142054,
        "worst_return": -0.139037,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.153855,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.044348,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.089797,
        "worst_return": -0.155998,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "return": -0.005182,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.016129,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-07-12",
        "end": "2024-09-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.022465,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2025-08-15",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.104885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-22",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.027778,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
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        "relative_strength": -2.263784,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 1529200,
        "typical_volume": 551875.0,
        "trend": 1.539232,
        "fair_value": 1.536718,
        "relative_strength": -2.198681,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.840854,
        "energy": 86.16476,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.701333,
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          1.615723,
          1.582444
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 1.74,
        "volume": 896100,
        "typical_volume": 554345.0,
        "trend": 1.549772,
        "fair_value": 1.537659,
        "relative_strength": -1.295767,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 79.769468,
        "energy": 78.210648,
        "activity_lines": [
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          1.688727,
          1.631729,
          1.595397
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.83,
        "volume": 929700,
        "typical_volume": 573485.0,
        "trend": 1.562671,
        "fair_value": 1.539229,
        "relative_strength": 4.930808,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.92786,
        "energy": 81.815551,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.757333,
          1.719273,
          1.654939,
          1.613476
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 1.8,
        "volume": 1484400,
        "typical_volume": 639960.0,
        "trend": 1.57489,
        "fair_value": 1.540502,
        "relative_strength": 3.813373,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.129645,
        "energy": 77.689124,
        "activity_lines": [
          1.778667,
          1.739455,
          1.673723,
          1.628788
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}