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Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 65.584, "architecture_energy": 54.723, "architecture_maturity": 25.461, "architecture_confidence": 87.001, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.42, "rotation_up": 64.35, "upward_expansion": 81.92, "deceleration": 52.73, "rotation_down": 15.33, "downward_expansion": 8.59 }, "activity_lines": [ 88.856667, 87.388545, 84.717055, 82.4429 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 90.13, "trend_reference": 78.835968, "distance_from_trend": 0.14326, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 72.959538, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.235342, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 17.108254, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.204692, "excess_performance": 0.079067, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.14326, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.133356, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.235342, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107679, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.171083, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 4e-05, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.204692, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.467081, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2293577, "relative_activity": 1.348497, "balance": 2.467081, "dry_up": 0.985348, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.064673, "annualized_volatility": 0.256786, "from_high_reference": -0.090147, "from_low_reference": 0.839725 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 78.835968, "fair_value_reference": 72.959538, "structural_low": 68.41134, 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"fair_value": 72.724467, "relative_strength": 22.302334, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.459879, "energy": 47.497942, "activity_lines": [ 87.080667, 85.556814, 83.128432, 80.897534 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 88.77, "volume": 1408384, "typical_volume": 1710296.05, "trend": 77.964196, "fair_value": 72.842649, "relative_strength": 20.080109, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.556825, "energy": 46.952418, "activity_lines": [ 87.784667, 86.448, 83.894857, 81.65801 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 90.13, "volume": 2293577, "typical_volume": 1700839.85, "trend": 78.835968, "fair_value": 72.959538, "relative_strength": 17.108254, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.58434, "energy": 54.723381, "activity_lines": [ 88.856667, 87.388545, 84.717055, 82.4429 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }