{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b369658-aa61-42ca-ace7-1ffe3644f048", "symbol": "600119", "name": "Y.U.D.Yangtze River Investment Industry Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.337, "architecture_energy": 57.154, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.319, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.29, "rotation_up": 24.58, "upward_expansion": 9.89, "deceleration": 58.78, "rotation_down": 53.47, "downward_expansion": 80.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.375333, 4.459455, 4.922905, 5.287419 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.47, "trend_reference": 5.870333, "distance_from_trend": -0.238544, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.265385, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.384754, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.058252, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.365957, "excess_performance": -0.322754, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.238544, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177402, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.384754, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.259708, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.360583, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.104407, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.365957, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.189992, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 10861202, "relative_activity": 0.54577, "balance": 0.189992, "dry_up": 0.501711, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112545, "annualized_volatility": 0.407912, "from_high_reference": -0.548485, "from_low_reference": 0.164062 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.870333, "fair_value_reference": 7.265385, "structural_low": 3.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.014308, "positive_rate": 0.36, "directional_follow_through": 0.64, "median_excess_return": 0.003659, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.162988, "worst_return": -0.257042, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.038943, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.048321, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.554257, "worst_return": -0.249169, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.090801, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.025368, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.511364, "worst_return": -0.424204, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"activity_lines": [ 4.518, 4.754364, 5.246238, 5.632258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.08, "volume": 11375694, "typical_volume": 20991567.9, "trend": 6.102333, "fair_value": 7.284872, "relative_strength": -41.287432, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.304317, "energy": 66.254463, "activity_lines": [ 4.369333, 4.577818, 5.104905, 5.492925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.43, "volume": 9060800, "typical_volume": 20357625.3, "trend": 5.983, "fair_value": 7.275577, "relative_strength": -35.723289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.254067, "energy": 59.562954, "activity_lines": [ 4.372667, 4.501455, 5.007714, 5.385032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.47, "volume": 10861202, "typical_volume": 19900684.7, "trend": 5.870333, "fair_value": 7.265385, "relative_strength": -36.058252, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.337437, "energy": 57.153721, "activity_lines": [ 4.375333, 4.459455, 4.922905, 5.287419 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }