{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b406f6b-ffe6-4056-92c3-a6d1756392a4", "symbol": "000938", "name": "Unisplendour Corporation Limited", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2c", "phase_label": "Stage 2C \u00b7 Late advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.992, "architecture_energy": 67.866, "architecture_maturity": 30.0, "architecture_confidence": 81.277, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.74, "rotation_up": 73.71, "upward_expansion": 90.08, "deceleration": 43.33, "rotation_down": 10.01, "downward_expansion": 14.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 37.505333, 34.841974, 32.445879, 30.918007 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 38.0, "trend_reference": 29.082295, "distance_from_trend": 0.306637, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.841707, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.529686, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 30.884128, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.518785, "excess_performance": 0.511385, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.306637, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090804, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.529686, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.191141, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.308841, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.282593, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.518785, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.89749, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1653820190, "relative_activity": 1.717202, "balance": 0.89749, "dry_up": 2.073209, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143724, "annualized_volatility": 0.657639, "from_high_reference": -0.170306, "from_low_reference": 0.635816 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 29.082295, "fair_value_reference": 24.841707, "structural_low": 23.23, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.010674, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.002264, "regime_survival": 0.608696, "best_return": 0.239294, "worst_return": -0.159783, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.001589, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.023643, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.377119, "worst_return": -0.239899, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.01981, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.058273, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.158051, "worst_return": -0.125581, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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31.703873, 30.313854 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 38.0, "volume": 1653820190, "typical_volume": 963089926.75, "trend": 29.082295, "fair_value": 24.841707, "relative_strength": 30.884128, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.992077, "energy": 67.865787, "activity_lines": [ 37.505333, 34.841974, 32.445879, 30.918007 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }