{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1b521651-7e6e-48a1-a7d5-0098cae39869",
    "symbol": "KEYFINSERV",
    "name": "Keynote Financial Services Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -56.589,
    "architecture_energy": 40.532,
    "architecture_maturity": 34.075,
    "architecture_confidence": 93.918,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 28.75,
        "rotation_up": 19.31,
        "upward_expansion": 9.34,
        "deceleration": 39.63,
        "rotation_down": 53.67,
        "downward_expansion": 80.34
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        254.30867,
        256.659637,
        262.010096,
        264.280689
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 248.600006,
    "trend_reference": 269.030335,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.075941,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 234.592525,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.05971,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -9.30197,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.138152,
    "excess_performance": -0.094443,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.075941,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.064884,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05971,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.280568,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.09302,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.178796,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.138152,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.578954,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9757,
      "relative_activity": 0.871336,
      "balance": 0.578954,
      "dry_up": 0.58898,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.084826,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.464378,
      "from_high_reference": -0.349385,
      "from_low_reference": 0.13
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 269.030335,
      "fair_value_reference": 234.592525,
      "structural_low": 220.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 20,
        "median_return": -0.011396,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.017764,
        "regime_survival": 0.7,
        "best_return": 0.322922,
        "worst_return": -0.155616,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.060138,
        "positive_rate": 0.375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.06838,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.227965,
        "worst_return": -0.159993,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.114555,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.099504,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.188735,
        "worst_return": -0.218943,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.333205,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.217322,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.819179,
        "worst_return": -0.152769,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.354782,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.048352,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-04-25",
        "end": "2025-05-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.149561,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-30",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.130301,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-07-11",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.091785,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.004472,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-10-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.039266,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-10",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.173086,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.310177,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.071586,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-09",
        "end": "2026-03-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.106469,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-03-20",
        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.09442,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-05-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.043875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-05-08",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.159993,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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        "typical_volume": 39599.85,
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      },
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        "date": "2023-08-25",
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      },
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "relative_strength": 4.661407,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": 2.207031,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 12200.15,
        "trend": 275.894334,
        "fair_value": 230.520962,
        "relative_strength": -2.096368,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 260.640015,
        "volume": 4151,
        "typical_volume": 11635.1,
        "trend": 273.967334,
        "fair_value": 231.594522,
        "relative_strength": -3.959862,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.824704,
        "energy": 17.158252,
        "activity_lines": [
          262.397333,
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          265.291953,
          268.014108
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 253.889999,
        "volume": 3807,
        "typical_volume": 11190.65,
        "trend": 272.192001,
        "fair_value": 232.626703,
        "relative_strength": -4.276888,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.857802,
        "energy": 17.805815,
        "activity_lines": [
          260.244,
          259.546545,
          264.257572,
          266.718797
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 256.0,
        "volume": 8666,
        "typical_volume": 11193.2,
        "trend": 270.198668,
        "fair_value": 233.666108,
        "relative_strength": -5.942195,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.787136,
        "energy": 21.12701,
        "activity_lines": [
          258.911334,
          258.620363,
          263.492286,
          265.674151
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 248.600006,
        "volume": 9757,
        "typical_volume": 11197.75,
        "trend": 269.030335,
        "fair_value": 234.592525,
        "relative_strength": -9.30197,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.588662,
        "energy": 40.532353,
        "activity_lines": [
          254.30867,
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          262.010096,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}