{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b531c99-95f9-49db-b72f-6638960e4333", "symbol": "AM", "name": "Antero Midstream Partners LP", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 52.67, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 18.389, "architecture_energy": 8.166, "architecture_maturity": 32.401, "architecture_confidence": 76.779, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.27, "rotation_up": 30.16, "upward_expansion": 61.45, "deceleration": 82.71, "rotation_down": 25.03, "downward_expansion": 13.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 21.902385, 22.041193, 21.903424, 21.85683 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 21.27, "trend_reference": 21.475454, "distance_from_trend": -0.009567, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.650824, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.359034, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.21986, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.120372, "excess_performance": -0.005253, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.009567, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076246, "read": "Rising" 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18.935282, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 42, "median_return": 0.005504, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.011982, "regime_survival": 0.761905, "best_return": 0.197602, "worst_return": -0.148995, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.043921, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.007905, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.202915, "worst_return": -0.131912, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.070842, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.005253, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.259561, "worst_return": -0.118621, "sufficient": true }, { 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22.370112, 22.180392, 21.967125, 21.809995 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 21.97, "volume": 12857574, "typical_volume": 11909157.8, "trend": 21.330769, "fair_value": 15.580102, "relative_strength": 2.354147, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.345209, "energy": 24.821143, "activity_lines": [ 22.220247, 22.17261, 21.966383, 21.86075 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.27, "volume": 14276049, "typical_volume": 11828953.75, "trend": 21.475454, "fair_value": 15.650824, "relative_strength": -4.21986, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.389489, "energy": 8.165723, "activity_lines": [ 21.902385, 22.041193, 21.903424, 21.85683 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }