{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1b5de1c0-016a-4b94-9b0b-e497ad91914b",
    "symbol": "PINK",
    "name": "SIMPLIFY EXCHANGE TRADED FUNDS SIMPLIFY HEALTH CARE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 85.002,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 71.828,
    "architecture_energy": 50.856,
    "architecture_maturity": 35.993,
    "architecture_confidence": 64.266,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.15,
        "rotation_up": 49.89,
        "upward_expansion": 78.66,
        "deceleration": 66.83,
        "rotation_down": 25.7,
        "downward_expansion": 7.66
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      "activity_lines": [
        39.3,
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        37.280652
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 40.12,
    "trend_reference": 36.580028,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096773,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 31.133502,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.288644,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 1.252747,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.105389,
    "excess_performance": -0.020236,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096773,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.020653,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.288644,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094743,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.012527,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.045005,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.105389,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.559432,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 352684,
      "relative_activity": 0.603508,
      "balance": 0.559432,
      "dry_up": 0.727566,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.035836,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.20146,
      "from_high_reference": -0.007176,
      "from_low_reference": 0.411523
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 31.133502,
      "structural_low": 32.03,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 18,
        "median_return": 0.005332,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.010908,
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        "worst_return": -0.052632,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-17",
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        "typical_volume": 782072.35,
        "trend": 35.082828,
        "fair_value": 29.891636,
        "relative_strength": 0.784,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -2.445703,
        "energy": 12.5781,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 732156.2,
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 711534.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 705300.9,
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        "relative_strength": -1.81982,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 681609.8,
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        "fair_value": 30.231171,
        "relative_strength": -1.937767,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 647358.1,
        "trend": 35.839837,
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        "relative_strength": -0.197696,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 262667,
        "typical_volume": 621860.5,
        "trend": 35.999842,
        "fair_value": 30.395992,
        "relative_strength": 1.410896,
        "stage": 2,
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        "direction": 31.778698,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 37.051756,
        "volume": 1571131,
        "typical_volume": 673755.25,
        "trend": 36.040619,
        "fair_value": 30.468352,
        "relative_strength": -0.954962,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "energy": 44.820526,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 39.18,
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        "typical_volume": 638940.35,
        "trend": 36.095845,
        "fair_value": 30.622938,
        "relative_strength": 6.093481,
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 50.227188,
        "energy": 50.234911,
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          36.2789,
          36.09464
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 40.16,
        "volume": 372582,
        "typical_volume": 626199.4,
        "trend": 36.215335,
        "fair_value": 30.717363,
        "relative_strength": 6.217182,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.92153,
        "energy": 73.924244,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 39.61,
        "volume": 671313,
        "typical_volume": 630871.65,
        "trend": 36.304211,
        "fair_value": 30.804227,
        "relative_strength": 3.202431,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.394966,
        "energy": 78.261924,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.139044,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 38.89,
        "volume": 470693,
        "typical_volume": 636202.9,
        "trend": 36.377717,
        "fair_value": 30.881873,
        "relative_strength": 2.734822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.367813,
        "energy": 78.118376,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.24213,
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          37.332809,
          36.742679
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 38.61,
        "volume": 445628,
        "typical_volume": 600800.6,
        "trend": 36.429259,
        "fair_value": 30.958606,
        "relative_strength": 2.414018,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.850118,
        "energy": 69.654403,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.129333,
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          37.564145,
          36.886698
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 38.92,
        "volume": 431723,
        "typical_volume": 591194.5,
        "trend": 36.504446,
        "fair_value": 31.043065,
        "relative_strength": 1.929001,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 58.803916,
        "energy": 46.41755,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.006,
          38.803369,
          37.804851,
          37.047391
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.12,
        "volume": 352684,
        "typical_volume": 584389.8,
        "trend": 36.580028,
        "fair_value": 31.133502,
        "relative_strength": 1.252747,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.828292,
        "energy": 50.855663,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.3,
          39.096368,
          38.135028,
          37.280652
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}