{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b6e92e4-f51a-4a81-b51e-b015f9842761", "symbol": "VOX", "name": "Vanguard Communication Services Index Fund ETF Shares", "exchange": "MEX", "country": "MX", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^MXX", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 79.641, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.408, "architecture_energy": 60.148, "architecture_maturity": 15.986, "architecture_confidence": 87.414, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.42, "rotation_up": 15.32, "upward_expansion": 15.06, "deceleration": 37.47, "rotation_down": 59.9, "downward_expansion": 81.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 3196.254688, 3214.762678, 3259.968179, 3272.460499 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3211.600098, "trend_reference": 3293.353361, "distance_from_trend": -0.024824, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2833.101059, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.133599, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.193861, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.031358, "excess_performance": 0.023309, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.024824, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.016909, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.133599, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.120129, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061939, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008839, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.031358, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.763606, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 915, "relative_activity": 3.888653, "balance": 0.763606, "dry_up": 1.317467, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.019615, "annualized_volatility": 0.212402, "from_high_reference": -0.087888, "from_low_reference": 0.023781 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3293.353361, "fair_value_reference": 2833.101059, 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3300.894001 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3137.0, "volume": 152, "typical_volume": 855.85, "trend": 3311.350903, "fair_value": 2816.324385, "relative_strength": -8.151527, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.399407, "energy": 48.784016, "activity_lines": [ 3230.30931, 3244.424276, 3279.873363, 3289.048044 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3145.0, "volume": 105, "typical_volume": 861.1, "trend": 3302.356136, "fair_value": 2824.314178, "relative_strength": -8.427456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.993007, "energy": 65.71539, "activity_lines": [ 3201.348649, 3221.797266, 3266.14904, 3278.315727 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3211.600098, "volume": 915, "typical_volume": 235.3, "trend": 3293.353361, "fair_value": 2833.101059, "relative_strength": -6.193861, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.408234, "energy": 60.147677, "activity_lines": [ 3196.254688, 3214.762678, 3259.968179, 3272.460499 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }