{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b797144-b7e8-4fd1-92e2-90869c119ae1", "symbol": "NETL", "name": "COLTERPOINT NET LEASE REAL ESTATE ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 68.416, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 59.061, "architecture_energy": 45.001, "architecture_maturity": 35.931, "architecture_confidence": 72.593, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 16.43, "rotation_up": 59.71, "upward_expansion": 78.56, "deceleration": 58.18, "rotation_down": 17.63, "downward_expansion": 5.23 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.300407, 27.175651, 26.80004, 26.477697 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 26.82, "trend_reference": 26.044586, "distance_from_trend": 0.029773, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.990981, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.166544, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -4.356596, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.063081, "excess_performance": -0.062544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.029773, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.047932, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.166544, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006598, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.043566, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.017086, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.063081, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.363424, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 52855, "relative_activity": 1.140193, "balance": 1.363424, "dry_up": 0.950024, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032012, "annualized_volatility": 0.175903, "from_high_reference": -0.053047, "from_low_reference": 0.171145 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 26.044586, "fair_value_reference": 22.990981, "structural_low": 24.12814, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 21, "median_return": 0.00232, "positive_rate": 0.52381, "directional_follow_through": 0.52381, "median_excess_return": -0.026435, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.088536, "worst_return": -0.089798, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.010594, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.046738, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.070371, "worst_return": -0.096569, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.021977, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.086832, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.142434, "worst_return": -0.085628, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"2026-07-24", "close": 27.892047, "volume": 26395, "typical_volume": 46330.55, "trend": 25.81627, "fair_value": 22.912665, "relative_strength": 3.93381, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.596436, "energy": 78.143732, "activity_lines": [ 27.589708, 27.138422, 26.66311, 26.335599 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 27.14, "volume": 40864, "typical_volume": 45980.8, "trend": 25.941218, "fair_value": 22.953161, "relative_strength": 0.08132, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.73185, "energy": 62.045874, "activity_lines": [ 27.505573, 27.193257, 26.750373, 26.421001 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.82, "volume": 52855, "typical_volume": 46356.2, "trend": 26.044586, "fair_value": 22.990981, "relative_strength": -4.356596, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 59.061439, "energy": 45.000775, "activity_lines": [ 27.300407, 27.175651, 26.80004, 26.477697 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }