{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b865143-bb58-4811-ac5f-695e1169e7e3", "symbol": "RGL", "name": "Regional REIT Limited", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 34.918, "architecture_energy": 50.213, "architecture_maturity": 12.054, "architecture_confidence": 51.685, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.83, "rotation_up": 67.17, "upward_expansion": 62.32, "deceleration": 19.96, "rotation_down": 19.22, "downward_expansion": 18.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.9792, 0.962818, 0.933649, 0.927863 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.98, "trend_reference": 0.932738, "distance_from_trend": 0.05067, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.114676, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.120821, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.107746, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.039763, "excess_performance": -0.090998, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05067, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014252, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.120821, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.185912, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.081077, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.147921, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.039763, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.541489, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1947517, "relative_activity": 1.729241, "balance": 2.541489, "dry_up": 1.318008, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057635, "annualized_volatility": 0.273787, "from_high_reference": -0.16237, "from_low_reference": 0.190168 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.932738, "fair_value_reference": 1.114676, "structural_low": 0.823413, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.030714, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.016045, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.068377, "worst_return": -0.006948, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.052466, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.000155, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.052466, "worst_return": 0.052466, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.081489, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.198225, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.081489, "worst_return": -0.081489, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"energy": 42.464267, "activity_lines": [ 0.9546, 0.933944, 0.912707, 0.918939 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.979, "volume": 720692, "typical_volume": 1196235.55, "trend": 0.93528, "fair_value": 1.128375, "relative_strength": -7.971918, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 28.934722, "energy": 47.724762, "activity_lines": [ 0.966267, 0.945017, 0.919673, 0.92181 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.983, "volume": 1231264, "typical_volume": 1143032.3, "trend": 0.9339, "fair_value": 1.121227, "relative_strength": -8.173319, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 37.388061, "energy": 51.994643, "activity_lines": [ 0.975333, 0.955036, 0.926827, 0.924889 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.98, "volume": 1947517, "typical_volume": 1126226.55, "trend": 0.932738, "fair_value": 1.114676, "relative_strength": -8.107746, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 34.917663, "energy": 50.213327, "activity_lines": [ 0.9792, 0.962818, 0.933649, 0.927863 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }