{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b8da919-a860-426b-89b1-101ad1bd1b04", "symbol": "MSGM", "name": "Motorsport Gaming Us LLC", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 53.666, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.08, "architecture_energy": 16.06, "architecture_maturity": 21.276, "architecture_confidence": 61.208, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.71, "rotation_up": 39.01, "upward_expansion": 71.61, "deceleration": 61.56, "rotation_down": 22.25, "downward_expansion": 2.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.321333, 4.304, 4.30181, 4.240527 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 4.1, "trend_reference": 4.1225, "distance_from_trend": -0.005458, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.693637, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.522106, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 1.461674, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.126374, "excess_performance": -0.06108, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.005458, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122532, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.522106, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.292699, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.014617, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.241607, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.126374, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.409919, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 479320, "relative_activity": 1.887406, "balance": 0.409919, "dry_up": 0.677914, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.176409, "annualized_volatility": 0.631844, "from_high_reference": -0.262378, "from_low_reference": 0.947743 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.1225, "fair_value_reference": 2.693637, "structural_low": 3.095, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.010529, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.056561, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.057339, "worst_return": -0.13879, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.032007, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.047257, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.081585, "worst_return": -0.017571, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.373288, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.30602, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.373288, "worst_return": 0.373288, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": 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"deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 51.5898, "energy": 26.444572, "activity_lines": [ 4.412667, 4.316182, 4.29919, 4.197699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.37, "volume": 76751, "typical_volume": 343971.85, "trend": 4.0445, "fair_value": 2.711714, "relative_strength": 14.583725, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 44.904468, "energy": 31.045487, "activity_lines": [ 4.446, 4.328364, 4.309476, 4.221301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 4.33, "volume": 68929, "typical_volume": 255307.95, "trend": 4.0875, "fair_value": 2.70274, "relative_strength": 12.574361, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Re-acceleration watch", "gate": "up", "direction": 45.481347, "energy": 32.493824, "activity_lines": [ 4.438667, 4.335636, 4.31719, 4.23972 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.1, "volume": 479320, "typical_volume": 253957.0, "trend": 4.1225, "fair_value": 2.693637, "relative_strength": 1.461674, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.080227, "energy": 16.060257, "activity_lines": [ 4.321333, 4.304, 4.30181, 4.240527 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }