{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1b9107b4-61ea-409f-94e0-c9a62774ffae",
    "symbol": "ALTD",
    "name": "Tonner Drones S.A.",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 52.998,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -47.734,
    "architecture_energy": 34.236,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.898,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.864,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.8,
        "rotation_up": 18.73,
        "upward_expansion": 15.22,
        "deceleration": 63.25,
        "rotation_down": 51.13,
        "downward_expansion": 67.55
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.027513,
        0.027478,
        0.029881,
        0.03058
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.0289,
    "trend_reference": 0.03101,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.068043,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.192708,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.850032,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.371592,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.036667,
    "excess_performance": -0.089978,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.068043,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.006818,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.850032,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.044772,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093716,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.289908,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.036667,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 3.556473,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 9569633,
      "relative_activity": 0.502045,
      "balance": 3.556473,
      "dry_up": 0.468783,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.124035,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.444108,
      "from_high_reference": -0.324766,
      "from_low_reference": 0.284444
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.03101,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.192708,
      "structural_low": 0.0225,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": -0.215385,
        "positive_rate": 0.219512,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.756098,
        "median_excess_return": -0.230341,
        "regime_survival": 0.926829,
        "best_return": 1.0,
        "worst_return": -0.804781,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 14,
        "median_return": -0.541134,
        "positive_rate": 0.142857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.857143,
        "median_excess_return": -0.496986,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": 0.8002,
        "worst_return": -0.977143,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.942116,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.921219,
        "regime_survival": 0.857143,
        "best_return": -0.048387,
        "worst_return": -0.996454,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.991217,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.992847,
        "regime_survival": 0.75,
        "best_return": 1.112903,
        "worst_return": -0.999836,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2024-02-23",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Extended",
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      },
      {
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      {
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-04-18",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "fair_value": 0.230127,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 21185383.5,
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        "fair_value": 0.217673,
        "relative_strength": -11.948851,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.0266,
        "volume": 9910903,
        "typical_volume": 20348771.6,
        "trend": 0.031007,
        "fair_value": 0.205215,
        "relative_strength": -14.833346,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -62.614045,
        "energy": 45.641453,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.02684,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.0289,
        "volume": 9569633,
        "typical_volume": 19061293.05,
        "trend": 0.03101,
        "fair_value": 0.192708,
        "relative_strength": -9.371592,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -47.733981,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}