{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b91195f-1642-4c22-b4a9-3951f3c61c1a", "symbol": "4183", "name": "EPS Bio Technology Corp.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 91.484, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -8.269, "architecture_energy": 14.321, "architecture_maturity": 19.766, "architecture_confidence": 60.349, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.09, "rotation_up": 35.71, "upward_expansion": 32.43, "deceleration": 44.22, "rotation_down": 17.73, "downward_expansion": 40.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.546667, 14.368182, 14.12619, 14.412796 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 14.5, "trend_reference": 14.891667, "distance_from_trend": -0.026301, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.70033, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.263972, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -38.048059, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.11315, "excess_performance": -0.554522, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.026301, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061745, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.263972, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076172, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.380481, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122551, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.11315, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.800108, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38000, "relative_activity": 0.886131, "balance": 0.800108, "dry_up": 0.594641, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.070027, "annualized_volatility": 0.291021, "from_high_reference": -0.252577, "from_low_reference": 0.25 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 14.891667, "fair_value_reference": 19.70033, "structural_low": 11.6, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.010811, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": 0.023056, "regime_survival": 0.533333, "best_return": 0.098655, "worst_return": -0.103896, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.011526, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.009912, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.116154, "worst_return": -0.134199, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.040698, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.028323, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.126404, "worst_return": -0.176715, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-04-12", "end": "2024-05-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.020045, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-05-17", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.130045, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-07-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.13582, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-12", "end": "2024-08-02", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.027027, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-09", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.056452, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.517755, "energy": 20.227329, "activity_lines": [ 14.02, 13.820909, 14.053095, 14.53086 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 14.9, "volume": 5000, "typical_volume": 40835.55, "trend": 15.11, "fair_value": 19.783986, "relative_strength": -36.774913, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.919967, "energy": 17.067693, "activity_lines": [ 14.33, 14.057273, 14.088333, 14.512688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.3, "volume": 48000, "typical_volume": 42835.55, "trend": 15.02, "fair_value": 19.755813, "relative_strength": -37.46495, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -15.947405, "energy": 13.316844, "activity_lines": [ 14.38, 14.154545, 14.072857, 14.46043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.75, "volume": 11000, "typical_volume": 41733.8, "trend": 14.968333, "fair_value": 19.728722, "relative_strength": -35.897755, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -3.566387, "energy": 11.891316, "activity_lines": [ 14.51, 14.3, 14.108333, 14.443011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 14.5, "volume": 38000, "typical_volume": 42883.05, "trend": 14.891667, "fair_value": 19.70033, "relative_strength": -38.048059, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -8.268869, "energy": 14.321271, "activity_lines": [ 14.546667, 14.368182, 14.12619, 14.412796 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }