{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1b96a80f-76f3-4867-81e0-43377009b821", "symbol": "600718", "name": "Neusoft Corporation", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -34.098, "architecture_energy": 23.144, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 73.477, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.67, "rotation_up": 30.03, "upward_expansion": 20.01, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 23.11, "downward_expansion": 56.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.168, 7.948182, 8.12681, 8.452065 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 8.28, "trend_reference": 9.043667, "distance_from_trend": -0.084442, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.376979, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.116986, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -13.463788, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.208413, "excess_performance": -0.165209, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084442, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.07702, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.116986, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087479, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.134638, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.018467, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.208413, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.649844, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 65210876, "relative_activity": 1.169781, "balance": 0.649844, "dry_up": 1.405942, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066239, "annualized_volatility": 0.288854, "from_high_reference": -0.346488, "from_low_reference": 0.164557 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.043667, "fair_value_reference": 9.376979, "structural_low": 7.11, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.015353, "positive_rate": 0.44, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": -0.003372, "regime_survival": 0.84, "best_return": 0.19545, "worst_return": -0.100917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.060489, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.008678, "regime_survival": 0.555556, "best_return": 0.376774, "worst_return": -0.194819, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.060301, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.008874, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.565161, "worst_return": -0.262808, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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91.284127, "activity_lines": [ 7.515333, 7.879455, 8.366048, 8.822667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 8.0, "volume": 92859213, "typical_volume": 61343695.3, "trend": 9.291, "fair_value": 9.426806, "relative_strength": -19.270607, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.012161, "energy": 65.781099, "activity_lines": [ 7.625333, 7.843273, 8.29, 8.734946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.63, "volume": 94828576, "typical_volume": 61159283.8, "trend": 9.217667, "fair_value": 9.409537, "relative_strength": -17.803782, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.427959, "energy": 60.476544, "activity_lines": [ 7.624667, 7.755091, 8.190238, 8.627785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.02, "volume": 82328817, "typical_volume": 59189318.15, "trend": 9.152667, "fair_value": 9.396941, "relative_strength": -14.282419, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.742077, "energy": 46.808322, "activity_lines": [ 7.768, 7.768182, 8.140905, 8.550516 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.45, "volume": 71135713, "typical_volume": 57508349.5, "trend": 9.103333, "fair_value": 9.386294, "relative_strength": -9.703333, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.798608, "energy": 24.744332, "activity_lines": [ 8.037333, 7.872182, 8.139762, 8.505183 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.28, "volume": 65210876, "typical_volume": 55746233.5, "trend": 9.043667, "fair_value": 9.376979, "relative_strength": -13.463788, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.098324, "energy": 23.144165, "activity_lines": [ 8.168, 7.948182, 8.12681, 8.452065 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }