{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1ba4c6b5-f7d4-4498-b171-a1e796927bdb",
    "symbol": "LJPN",
    "name": "Amundi Core MSCI Japan UCITS ETF Dist",
    "exchange": "EBS",
    "country": "CH",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SSMI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 80.299,
    "architecture_energy": 51.675,
    "architecture_maturity": 86.34,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.559,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 17.56,
        "rotation_up": 52.19,
        "upward_expansion": 79.1,
        "deceleration": 65.82,
        "rotation_down": 28.69,
        "downward_expansion": 12.43
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        80.331191,
        78.71585
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 84.279999,
    "trend_reference": 76.863,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.096496,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 64.319466,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.310334,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 4.16185,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.132339,
    "excess_performance": 0.049456,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.096496,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.056163,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.310334,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065819,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041619,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.050415,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.132339,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 11.871588,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7849,
      "relative_activity": 0.914024,
      "balance": 11.871588,
      "dry_up": 0.642606,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.027107,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.1894,
      "from_high_reference": -0.001185,
      "from_low_reference": 0.303307
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 76.863,
      "fair_value_reference": 64.319466,
      "structural_low": 69.25,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 26,
        "median_return": 0.012432,
        "positive_rate": 0.615385,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.615385,
        "median_excess_return": -0.002161,
        "regime_survival": 0.730769,
        "best_return": 0.08006,
        "worst_return": -0.109763,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "regime_survival": 0.454545,
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        "worst_return": -0.025986,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.049263,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "trend": 71.430348,
        "fair_value": 61.948476,
        "relative_strength": 5.944915,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 47.492705,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 7720.15,
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        "relative_strength": 9.203399,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 9492.8,
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        "relative_strength": 8.202018,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 9762.9,
        "trend": 72.472881,
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        "relative_strength": 5.760028,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 78.559998,
        "volume": 8022,
        "typical_volume": 10103.0,
        "trend": 72.775729,
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        "relative_strength": 6.577806,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 73.112176,
        "fair_value": 62.719819,
        "relative_strength": 8.701668,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 76.868053,
        "energy": 80.418084,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 9816.95,
        "trend": 73.489098,
        "fair_value": 62.872684,
        "relative_strength": 6.404358,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "relative_strength": 10.953035,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 74.466316,
        "fair_value": 63.238373,
        "relative_strength": 5.116929,
        "stage": 2,
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.277547,
        "energy": 88.954152,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 324,
        "typical_volume": 9190.2,
        "trend": 74.889667,
        "fair_value": 63.420581,
        "relative_strength": 3.617275,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 89.680454,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 82.730003,
        "volume": 19225,
        "typical_volume": 10045.0,
        "trend": 75.330334,
        "fair_value": 63.60932,
        "relative_strength": 5.068638,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.783637,
        "energy": 88.953968,
        "activity_lines": [
          82.476002,
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          78.724286,
          77.295119
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 78.57,
        "volume": 3383,
        "typical_volume": 9967.9,
        "trend": 75.645667,
        "fair_value": 63.771149,
        "relative_strength": -1.138551,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.371726,
        "energy": 56.099788,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.268668,
          80.960001,
          78.897667,
          77.504129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 81.370003,
        "volume": 6787,
        "typical_volume": 9939.0,
        "trend": 76.055667,
        "fair_value": 63.941159,
        "relative_strength": 2.341652,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 55.033855,
        "energy": 45.895308,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.080002,
          81.161819,
          79.329239,
          77.873441
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 81.300003,
        "volume": 4054,
        "typical_volume": 9308.2,
        "trend": 76.467001,
        "fair_value": 64.120125,
        "relative_strength": 1.97434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.061877,
        "energy": 38.454504,
        "activity_lines": [
          81.039336,
          81.280547,
          79.711763,
          78.211786
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 84.279999,
        "volume": 7849,
        "typical_volume": 8587.3,
        "trend": 76.863,
        "fair_value": 64.319466,
        "relative_strength": 4.16185,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.298631,
        "energy": 51.674734,
        "activity_lines": [
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          78.71585
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}