{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ba90727-cc2e-4625-be7d-26cd71884f0c", "symbol": "RHIM", "name": "RHI Magnesita India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 49.733, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.879, "architecture_energy": 18.801, "architecture_maturity": 10.156, "architecture_confidence": 65.421, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 57.56, "rotation_up": 46.18, "upward_expansion": 41.09, "deceleration": 36.66, "rotation_down": 24.75, "downward_expansion": 15.43 }, "activity_lines": [ 403.559996, 398.345453, 396.049523, 395.915698 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 412.799988, "trend_reference": 401.964999, "distance_from_trend": 0.026955, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 534.958817, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.228352, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.573651, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.051253, "excess_performance": -0.007544, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026955, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.050884, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.228352, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033668, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.025737, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.027288, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.051253, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.339186, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2223628, "relative_activity": 1.185162, "balance": 2.339186, "dry_up": 1.47298, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.072274, "annualized_volatility": 0.367943, "from_high_reference": -0.195103, "from_low_reference": 0.277821 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 401.964999, "fair_value_reference": 534.958817, "structural_low": 323.049988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.004056, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.005826, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.2081, "worst_return": -0.127621, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.023005, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.052731, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.378817, "worst_return": -0.186807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.046796, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.024734, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.58725, "worst_return": -0.240799, 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405.476666, "fair_value": 538.738662, "relative_strength": -3.570672, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -11.272428, "energy": 15.278745, "activity_lines": [ 402.440004, 395.778185, 393.871668, 396.391721 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 388.549988, "volume": 1468483, "typical_volume": 1809370.7, "trend": 403.251666, "fair_value": 536.896489, "relative_strength": -7.961627, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "down", "direction": -16.948278, "energy": 15.987689, "activity_lines": [ 399.369999, 394.805455, 393.836905, 395.299677 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 412.799988, "volume": 2223628, "typical_volume": 1876222.6, "trend": 401.964999, "fair_value": 534.958817, "relative_strength": -2.573651, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.879364, "energy": 18.80072, "activity_lines": [ 403.559996, 398.345453, 396.049523, 395.915698 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }