{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bb3a2e6-d908-4c49-a264-7c79cdf73deb", "symbol": "334690", "name": "KB Asset Management Co. Ltd - Kbstar Palladium Futures Etf", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.631, "architecture_energy": 33.665, "architecture_maturity": 91.066, "architecture_confidence": 85.572, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 30.11, "rotation_up": 27.74, "upward_expansion": 18.02, "deceleration": 46.99, "rotation_down": 30.13, "downward_expansion": 63.35 }, "activity_lines": [ 5967.0, 5875.363636, 6082.285714, 6397.494624 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6235.0, "trend_reference": 6934.166667, "distance_from_trend": -0.100829, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5844.520577, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.066811, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -29.801527, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.206743, "excess_performance": -0.436572, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.100829, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08372, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.066811, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.11541, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.298015, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.145998, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.206743, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.391195, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27449, "relative_activity": 0.726741, "balance": 0.391195, "dry_up": 1.053276, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060761, "annualized_volatility": 0.367099, "from_high_reference": -0.399904, "from_low_reference": 0.171992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6934.166667, "fair_value_reference": 5844.520577, 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"activity_lines": [ 5758.333333, 5800.727273, 6140.380952, 6523.043011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5940.0, "volume": 13766, "typical_volume": 42504.45, "trend": 7024.333333, "fair_value": 5849.120665, "relative_strength": -37.225604, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -49.58373, "energy": 47.861661, "activity_lines": [ 5831.333333, 5806.545455, 6093.333333, 6448.419355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6235.0, "volume": 27449, "typical_volume": 37770.0, "trend": 6934.166667, "fair_value": 5844.520577, "relative_strength": -29.801527, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.630505, "energy": 33.664546, "activity_lines": [ 5967.0, 5875.363636, 6082.285714, 6397.494624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }