{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bb4b1e9-7c3c-4210-a897-7d2229201049", "symbol": "TRSG", "name": "Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 35.318, "architecture_energy": 19.726, "architecture_maturity": 38.172, "architecture_confidence": 78.636, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.71, "rotation_up": 29.95, "upward_expansion": 58.6, "deceleration": 89.74, "rotation_down": 23.4, "downward_expansion": 13.27 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.49398, 1.518085, 1.462244, 1.399938 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 1.46, "trend_reference": 1.323233, "distance_from_trend": 0.103358, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.087898, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.300732, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -5.689703, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.247863, "excess_performance": 0.06041, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.103358, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.083779, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.300732, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.115008, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.056897, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.2138, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.247863, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.300921, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 16584, "relative_activity": 0.455399, "balance": 1.300921, "dry_up": 0.603128, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.159531, "annualized_volatility": 0.462137, "from_high_reference": -0.243523, "from_low_reference": 0.431373 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.323233, "fair_value_reference": 2.087898, "structural_low": 1.02, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-03-27", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.071429, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-04-03", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.061069, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.00166, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-06-05", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.322034, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-12", "end": "2026-07-24", "tenure": "Developing", 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1.288323, "fair_value": 2.103067, "relative_strength": 1.426877, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 56.695766, "energy": 36.035565, "activity_lines": [ 1.533073, 1.521856, 1.426594, 1.363105 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.5, "volume": 28034, "typical_volume": 37025.65, "trend": 1.300657, "fair_value": 2.097999, "relative_strength": 0.723802, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.268566, "energy": 24.821253, "activity_lines": [ 1.51726, 1.527362, 1.441093, 1.376762 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.5138, "volume": 16128, "typical_volume": 37780.6, "trend": 1.3139, "fair_value": 2.093131, "relative_strength": 1.912189, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.273767, "energy": 21.870539, "activity_lines": [ 1.510713, 1.529558, 1.455144, 1.390513 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.46, "volume": 16584, "typical_volume": 36416.4, "trend": 1.323233, "fair_value": 2.087898, "relative_strength": -5.689703, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.317706, "energy": 19.725728, "activity_lines": [ 1.49398, 1.518085, 1.462244, 1.399938 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }