{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bc9a136-ecf4-4226-bab6-4917d88df83b", "symbol": "A1UT34", "name": "Autodesk, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 1.711, "architecture_energy": 16.127, "architecture_maturity": 75.735, "architecture_confidence": 48.016, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 56.88, "rotation_up": 42.13, "upward_expansion": 22.49, "deceleration": 41.27, "rotation_down": 14.94, "downward_expansion": 54.15 }, "activity_lines": [ 58.232134, 55.832364, 56.186419, 57.525226 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 63.240002, "trend_reference": 59.706133, "distance_from_trend": 0.059188, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 69.890872, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.095161, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -13.583623, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.01291, "excess_performance": 0.069958, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.059188, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125181, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.095161, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.041806, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.135836, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206874, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.01291, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.011472, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 337, "relative_activity": 0.288837, "balance": 1.011472, "dry_up": 0.845297, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.073422, "annualized_volatility": 0.494327, "from_high_reference": -0.285859, "from_low_reference": 0.324398 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.706133, "fair_value_reference": 69.890872, "structural_low": 47.75, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.02001, "positive_rate": 0.578947, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": 0.018118, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.203856, "worst_return": -0.183165, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.036612, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.132039, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.182941, "worst_return": -0.306775, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.002908, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.088008, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.100991, "worst_return": -0.282345, 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.639999, "volume": 3263, "typical_volume": 1156.9, "trend": 60.068733, "fair_value": 69.809205, "relative_strength": -21.764637, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -22.650695, "energy": 14.209636, "activity_lines": [ 55.435866, 54.186436, 55.600304, 57.320628 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 63.240002, "volume": 337, "typical_volume": 1166.75, "trend": 59.706133, "fair_value": 69.890872, "relative_strength": -13.583623, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 1.711122, "energy": 16.126719, "activity_lines": [ 58.232134, 55.832364, 56.186419, 57.525226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }