{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bd030bd-52f6-4ba5-a6fc-07d8ed555fcd", "symbol": "KNSL", "name": "Kinsale Capital Group Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 38.986, "architecture_energy": 50.718, "architecture_maturity": 9.853, "architecture_confidence": 67.004, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 23.53, "rotation_up": 72.23, "upward_expansion": 55.91, "deceleration": 14.26, "rotation_down": 15.02, "downward_expansion": 23.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 358.022, 347.871455, 335.336454, 338.072477 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 373.76, "trend_reference": 348.277755, "distance_from_trend": 0.073166, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 415.427135, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.1003, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -12.230898, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.096093, "excess_performance": -0.221718, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.073166, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.046466, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.1003, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.170066, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.122309, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.224471, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.096093, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.0295, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1453973, "relative_activity": 0.964671, "balance": 3.0295, "dry_up": 1.107671, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068303, "annualized_volatility": 0.342229, "from_high_reference": -0.22789, "from_low_reference": 0.301393 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 348.277755, "fair_value_reference": 415.427135, "structural_low": 287.2, 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"Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": 3.414737, "energy": 22.09583, "activity_lines": [ 345.42, 334.429244, 328.627667, 336.078815 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 356.42, "volume": 1844953, "typical_volume": 1506665.85, "trend": 349.048029, "fair_value": 415.384885, "relative_strength": -13.998985, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 26.578604, "energy": 30.331993, "activity_lines": [ 349.764, 339.996545, 331.142499, 336.478156 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 373.76, "volume": 1453973, "typical_volume": 1507222.0, "trend": 348.277755, "fair_value": 415.427135, "relative_strength": -12.230898, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 38.986316, "energy": 50.71761, "activity_lines": [ 358.022, 347.871455, 335.336454, 338.072477 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }