{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bd10b71-7a26-4c1b-bcbe-a075ea9e5d25", "symbol": "603098", "name": "Center International Group Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.437, "architecture_energy": 65.059, "architecture_maturity": 42.855, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.36, "rotation_up": 24.59, "upward_expansion": 12.29, "deceleration": 48.56, "rotation_down": 59.05, "downward_expansion": 85.62 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.906667, 10.206093, 11.268503, 12.298629 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 10.18, "trend_reference": 13.416456, "distance_from_trend": -0.24123, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.959184, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.148771, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.497691, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.3411, "excess_performance": -0.297896, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.24123, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.070236, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.148771, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.246847, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.244977, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.217328, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.3411, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.347058, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19649485, "relative_activity": 0.617687, "balance": 0.347058, "dry_up": 0.747119, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096586, "annualized_volatility": 0.473372, "from_high_reference": -0.454448, "from_low_reference": 0.13363 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 13.416456, "fair_value_reference": 11.959184, "structural_low": 8.98, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 33, "median_return": -0.034483, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.039981, "regime_survival": 0.939394, "best_return": 0.262097, "worst_return": -0.22855, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.10421, "positive_rate": 0.181818, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": -0.078071, "regime_survival": 0.909091, "best_return": 0.471774, "worst_return": -0.354181, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.186051, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.130734, "regime_survival": 0.833333, "best_return": 0.291667, "worst_return": -0.518011, "sufficient": true }, 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12.188127, 13.033104 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.4, "volume": 23543636, "typical_volume": 39275292.45, "trend": 13.666456, "fair_value": 12.093145, "relative_strength": -28.262809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.383783, "energy": 90.118768, "activity_lines": [ 9.862, 10.516192, 11.808109, 12.750709 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.02, "volume": 23819139, "typical_volume": 36428429.2, "trend": 13.540789, "fair_value": 12.026284, "relative_strength": -23.745094, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.517813, "energy": 78.495929, "activity_lines": [ 9.845333, 10.323674, 11.514282, 12.515454 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.18, "volume": 19649485, "typical_volume": 31811396.55, "trend": 13.416456, "fair_value": 11.959184, "relative_strength": -24.497691, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.437426, "energy": 65.059187, "activity_lines": [ 9.906667, 10.206093, 11.268503, 12.298629 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }