{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bd2eb3e-29fc-4447-bbf0-7d4f7d94d00c", "symbol": "FLOWS", "name": "Flowscape Technology AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 36.264, "architecture_energy": 20.486, "architecture_maturity": 55.296, "architecture_confidence": 88.64, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 39.94, "rotation_up": 26.99, "upward_expansion": 54.89, "deceleration": 90.83, "rotation_down": 25.87, "downward_expansion": 18.56 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.616, 3.636727, 3.555143, 3.411785 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 3.56, "trend_reference": 3.228333, "distance_from_trend": 0.102736, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 3.171795, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.122393, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.368112, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.32342, "excess_performance": 0.261926, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.102736, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.088936, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.122393, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125896, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.013681, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.082099, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.32342, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.029377, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 32845, "relative_activity": 0.717767, "balance": 3.029377, "dry_up": 0.402344, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.096802, "annualized_volatility": 0.411361, "from_high_reference": -0.11, "from_low_reference": 0.50211 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.228333, "fair_value_reference": 3.171795, "structural_low": 2.6, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.016447, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.021035, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.078431, "worst_return": -0.105882, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.132353, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.085874, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.294118, "worst_return": -0.029412, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.063725, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.055739, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.127451, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.320098, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.248639, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.229412, "worst_return": -0.410784, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-01-26", "end": "2024-02-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.19398, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-03-01", "end": "2024-03-08", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.068528, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-03-15", "end": "2024-06-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.172727, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-06-14", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.052941, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-08-16", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.21118, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.292035, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.111111, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-01-24", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.023392, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-01-31", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.022293, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-11-28", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.079365, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward 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62.971237, "energy": 59.476932, "activity_lines": [ 3.66, 3.564727, 3.343714, 3.209892 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 3.58, "volume": 2582, "typical_volume": 51658.4, "trend": 3.078333, "fair_value": 3.139808, "relative_strength": 3.110558, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.298922, "energy": 44.797723, "activity_lines": [ 3.612, 3.590182, 3.381714, 3.24372 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 3.96, "volume": 15014, "typical_volume": 46974.35, "trend": 3.116667, "fair_value": 3.148205, "relative_strength": 16.399655, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 76.73694, "energy": 51.993089, "activity_lines": [ 3.710667, 3.674182, 3.452, 3.300602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 3.54, "volume": 9626, "typical_volume": 45840.65, "trend": 3.142333, "fair_value": 3.153462, "relative_strength": 5.248583, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.2514, "energy": 37.002079, "activity_lines": [ 3.664, 3.666545, 3.477762, 3.327914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.64, "volume": 7677, "typical_volume": 45840.55, "trend": 3.174333, "fair_value": 3.160641, "relative_strength": 6.61282, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 43.621707, "energy": 34.06391, "activity_lines": [ 3.665333, 3.669091, 3.51019, 3.360022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.62, "volume": 23497, "typical_volume": 45960.05, "trend": 3.203333, "fair_value": 3.167372, "relative_strength": 4.85937, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.691037, "energy": 30.98447, "activity_lines": [ 3.652, 3.661455, 3.537, 3.388774 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.56, "volume": 32845, "typical_volume": 45759.95, "trend": 3.228333, "fair_value": 3.171795, "relative_strength": 1.368112, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.263724, "energy": 20.4864, "activity_lines": [ 3.616, 3.636727, 3.555143, 3.411785 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }