{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bd85777-996e-4651-8c61-132ddce65bd8", "symbol": "9614", "name": "Purity for Information Technology Company", "exchange": "SAU", "country": "SA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^TASI.SR", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.379, "architecture_energy": 24.458, "architecture_maturity": 21.071, "architecture_confidence": 77.154, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 32.37, "rotation_up": 45.02, "upward_expansion": 74.91, "deceleration": 63.39, "rotation_down": 23.88, "downward_expansion": 3.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 23.753333, 23.751454, 23.644667, 23.475054 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 23.799999, "trend_reference": 23.063, "distance_from_trend": 0.031956, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 21.276413, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.11861, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 8.973626, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.133333, "excess_performance": 0.165163, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.031956, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048223, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.11861, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021614, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.089736, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029136, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.133333, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.465809, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 108801, "relative_activity": 3.486513, "balance": 4.465809, "dry_up": 1.004118, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040433, "annualized_volatility": 0.174993, "from_high_reference": -0.008333, "from_low_reference": 0.252632 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 23.063, "fair_value_reference": 21.276413, "structural_low": 21.0, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": 0.037278, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.033042, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.037278, "worst_return": 0.037278, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-05-15", "end": "2026-05-22", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.027308, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-05-29", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029536, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.004184, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2024-11-08", "close": 8.9, "volume": 931832, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null 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"2026-07-17", "close": 23.9, "volume": 5786, "typical_volume": 29543.2, "trend": 22.786, "fair_value": 21.191348, "relative_strength": 11.19636, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.939612, "energy": 22.245499, "activity_lines": [ 23.660666, 23.721091, 23.538047, 23.296667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 23.9, "volume": 477, "typical_volume": 27198.65, "trend": 22.882667, "fair_value": 21.221444, "relative_strength": 10.249025, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.634928, "energy": 22.547248, "activity_lines": [ 23.722666, 23.759454, 23.587333, 23.368538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 23.700001, "volume": 10275, "typical_volume": 26647.8, "trend": 22.966333, "fair_value": 21.248681, "relative_strength": 11.29218, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 34.932963, "energy": 16.933835, "activity_lines": [ 23.718, 23.746364, 23.61281, 23.421269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 23.799999, "volume": 108801, "typical_volume": 31206.25, "trend": 23.063, "fair_value": 21.276413, "relative_strength": 8.973626, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.378703, "energy": 24.458184, "activity_lines": [ 23.753333, 23.751454, 23.644667, 23.475054 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }