{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1be4fd94-b37a-417c-8e05-9bad75b40b45", "symbol": "WNER", "name": "WisdomTree New Economy Real Estate UCITS ETF - USD", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 69.612, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 1.281, "architecture_energy": 19.157, "architecture_maturity": 36.02, "architecture_confidence": 74.85, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.13, "rotation_up": 14.98, "upward_expansion": 42.46, "deceleration": 77.97, "rotation_down": 43.01, "downward_expansion": 36.46 }, "activity_lines": [ 28.801833, 29.080511, 29.477754, 29.159376 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 28.975, "trend_reference": 28.733796, "distance_from_trend": 0.008394, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 22.415503, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.292632, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.72838, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.07285, "excess_performance": 0.021615, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.008394, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044196, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.292632, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099311, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.027284, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132488, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.07285, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.035975, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 12, "relative_activity": 0.02887, "balance": 0.035975, "dry_up": 2.703597, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.032129, "annualized_volatility": 0.202196, "from_high_reference": -0.095101, "from_low_reference": 0.301501 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 28.733796, "fair_value_reference": 22.415503, "structural_low": 25.48, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.007139, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.015615, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.06873, "worst_return": -0.08316, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.016909, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.095433, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.092738, "worst_return": -0.061635, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.074228, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.000799, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.207834, "worst_return": -0.04547, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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29.000289 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 29.0975, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 207.6, "trend": 28.258043, "fair_value": 22.101709, "relative_strength": 0.364512, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.184981, "energy": 25.282749, "activity_lines": [ 29.884208, 30.180388, 29.610727, 29.061154 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 28.860001, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 202.25, "trend": 28.357883, "fair_value": 22.16352, "relative_strength": 1.091605, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 23.190898, "energy": 23.49129, "activity_lines": [ 29.452569, 29.940727, 29.60084, 29.09999 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 28.280001, "volume": 2295, "typical_volume": 306.95, "trend": 28.458083, "fair_value": 22.221843, "relative_strength": -1.978419, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.870332, "energy": 22.868489, "activity_lines": [ 28.940253, 29.603878, 29.532083, 29.094965 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.1175, "volume": 179, "typical_volume": 315.5, "trend": 28.566506, "fair_value": 22.285381, "relative_strength": -0.479582, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.823268, "energy": 22.953328, "activity_lines": [ 28.885819, 29.44869, 29.543255, 29.137508 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 28.594999, "volume": 2009, "typical_volume": 415.95, "trend": 28.664546, "fair_value": 22.348189, "relative_strength": -3.584289, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.617633, "energy": 22.434758, "activity_lines": [ 28.740167, 29.210956, 29.496284, 29.139347 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 28.975, "volume": 12, "typical_volume": 415.65, "trend": 28.733796, "fair_value": 22.415503, "relative_strength": -2.72838, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 1.280973, "energy": 19.156556, "activity_lines": [ 28.801833, 29.080511, 29.477754, 29.159376 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }