{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1be5e50a-8c30-4787-888d-83f8562487ad", "symbol": "CDTG", "name": "CDT Environmental Technology Investment Holdings Limited ordinary shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.544, "architecture_energy": 50.129, "architecture_maturity": 45.459, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.66, "rotation_up": 23.55, "upward_expansion": 7.7, "deceleration": 50.48, "rotation_down": 57.12, "downward_expansion": 83.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.237333, 1.547864, 3.311452, 4.634763 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.35, "trend_reference": 6.153917, "distance_from_trend": -0.780628, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 39.808359, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.966088, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -87.869688, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.825863, "excess_performance": -1.013316, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.780628, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.31999, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.966088, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.126082, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.878697, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.312129, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.825863, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.352753, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3654432, "relative_activity": 2.744168, "balance": 0.352753, "dry_up": 1.582364, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.783593, "annualized_volatility": 1.858088, "from_high_reference": -0.974648, "from_low_reference": 0.850329 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.153917, "fair_value_reference": 39.808359, "structural_low": 0.7296, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.102794, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.180812, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.628596, "worst_return": -0.386441, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.17197, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.270902, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.040833, "worst_return": -0.384773, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.359651, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.553617, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.359651, "worst_return": -0.359651, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 3273362.1, "trend": 6.93475, "fair_value": 40.793381, "relative_strength": -85.008626, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.716405, "energy": 66.423822, "activity_lines": [ 1.873333, 2.639273, 4.67219, 5.721812 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.95, "volume": 3459067, "typical_volume": 1166776.55, "trend": 6.67475, "fair_value": 40.458563, "relative_strength": -91.550443, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.128153, "energy": 57.338453, "activity_lines": [ 1.562667, 2.124, 4.163643, 5.335699 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.8925, "volume": 261035, "typical_volume": 1157809.05, "trend": 6.43225, "fair_value": 40.128846, "relative_strength": -91.825097, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.650979, "energy": 58.532854, "activity_lines": [ 1.290167, 1.732, 3.693917, 4.962651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.35, "volume": 3654432, "typical_volume": 1331708.45, "trend": 6.153917, "fair_value": 39.808359, "relative_strength": -87.869688, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.544482, "energy": 50.129165, "activity_lines": [ 1.237333, 1.547864, 3.311452, 4.634763 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }