{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bea590f-163e-44e4-a0eb-51a7cfea3d87", "symbol": "600137", "name": "Sichuan Langsha Holding Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.827, "architecture_energy": 54.673, "architecture_maturity": 39.009, "architecture_confidence": 95.899, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.35, "rotation_up": 24.41, "upward_expansion": 9.32, "deceleration": 57.46, "rotation_down": 55.05, "downward_expansion": 82.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.669333, 16.817784, 18.388274, 19.3544 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 17.459999, "trend_reference": 20.238328, "distance_from_trend": -0.137281, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.670464, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047361, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.626327, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.180282, "excess_performance": -0.137078, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.137281, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.039765, "read": "Falling" 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14.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.022444, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.024266, "regime_survival": 0.818182, "best_return": 0.19171, "worst_return": -0.135617, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.044648, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.032077, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.270175, "worst_return": -0.143921, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.172056, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.162652, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.346491, "worst_return": -0.12976, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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20.274175, 20.628764 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 16.74, "volume": 7957971, "typical_volume": 13057539.4, "trend": 20.602662, "fair_value": 16.690877, "relative_strength": -17.981525, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.130461, "energy": 86.5663, "activity_lines": [ 17.047407, 18.169609, 19.860414, 20.374055 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 16.5, "volume": 8726490, "typical_volume": 12924831.9, "trend": 20.527995, "fair_value": 16.677647, "relative_strength": -13.898897, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.645713, "energy": 85.666548, "activity_lines": [ 16.781638, 17.64099, 19.448034, 20.109367 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.16, "volume": 9779415, "typical_volume": 12819387.75, "trend": 20.376662, "fair_value": 16.663892, "relative_strength": -21.553532, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.60385, "energy": 85.827598, "activity_lines": [ 16.206, 17.001597, 18.93532, 19.763045 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.879999, "volume": 11199304, "typical_volume": 12739032.9, "trend": 20.297328, "fair_value": 16.664413, "relative_strength": -12.536511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.901541, "energy": 64.518404, "activity_lines": [ 16.361333, 16.813296, 18.61994, 19.537453 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.459999, "volume": 8579289, "typical_volume": 12134162.35, "trend": 20.238328, "fair_value": 16.670464, "relative_strength": -11.626327, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.826511, "energy": 54.673072, "activity_lines": [ 16.669333, 16.817784, 18.388274, 19.3544 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }