{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1bfc9d37-e315-4e9a-8d5c-2ac45d52c1f3", "symbol": "ANDHRSUGAR", "name": "The Andhra Sugars Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 37.128, "architecture_energy": 18.771, "architecture_maturity": 27.208, "architecture_confidence": 68.699, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 46.08, "rotation_up": 40.24, "upward_expansion": 63.94, "deceleration": 58.55, "rotation_down": 22.27, "downward_expansion": 11.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 85.206667, 84.327818, 85.578048, 83.952688 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 87.980003, "trend_reference": 80.975334, "distance_from_trend": 0.086504, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 91.682883, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.040388, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 11.352592, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.188919, "excess_performance": 0.232628, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.086504, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028341, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.040388, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.109934, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.113526, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.218656, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.188919, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.564949, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1854782, "relative_activity": 0.850768, "balance": 2.564949, "dry_up": 0.613287, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079432, "annualized_volatility": 0.371246, "from_high_reference": -0.179521, "from_low_reference": 0.323008 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 80.975334, "fair_value_reference": 91.682883, "structural_low": 67.470001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.045395, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.010872, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.272046, "worst_return": -0.066346, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.009445, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.042471, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.359765, "worst_return": -0.138844, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.053114, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.106327, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.448781, "worst_return": -0.164865, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": 13.93902, "energy": 10.416367, "activity_lines": [ 83.557332, 84.309636, 85.17719, 82.721871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 82.760002, "volume": 1182937, "typical_volume": 2140527.25, "trend": 79.852334, "fair_value": 92.043758, "relative_strength": 6.471607, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.150653, "energy": 9.730422, "activity_lines": [ 83.379333, 83.638363, 85.15619, 82.927011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 86.330002, "volume": 1265854, "typical_volume": 2138675.6, "trend": 80.242334, "fair_value": 91.927265, "relative_strength": 13.419552, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.227702, "energy": 15.108167, "activity_lines": [ 84.394668, 83.930909, 85.432667, 83.344925 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 82.129997, "volume": 1044601, "typical_volume": 2136880.6, "trend": 80.447334, "fair_value": 91.778588, "relative_strength": 4.993017, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.847913, "energy": 10.588313, "activity_lines": [ 83.882666, 83.538545, 85.253333, 83.46671 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 87.980003, "volume": 1854782, "typical_volume": 2180126.25, "trend": 80.975334, "fair_value": 91.682883, "relative_strength": 11.352592, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.127687, "energy": 18.770718, "activity_lines": [ 85.206667, 84.327818, 85.578048, 83.952688 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }