{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1c2ecf6e-8a5a-4bb6-b231-ffccb81eba75",
    "symbol": "TRS",
    "name": "TriMas Corporation",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 56.721,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 26.421,
    "architecture_energy": 18.844,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.533,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.357,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 56.51,
        "rotation_up": 19.39,
        "upward_expansion": 51.23,
        "deceleration": 93.22,
        "rotation_down": 31.66,
        "downward_expansion": 17.23
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        40.225506,
        41.005734,
        40.709504,
        39.811874
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 40.24,
    "trend_reference": 38.553152,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.043754,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.312687,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.372784,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -5.950263,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.116579,
    "excess_performance": -0.070875,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.043754,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.06934,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.372784,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.147882,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.059503,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093465,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116579,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.073713,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2558290,
      "relative_activity": 1.101071,
      "balance": 1.073713,
      "dry_up": 0.944906,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.072668,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.351607,
      "from_high_reference": -0.113269,
      "from_low_reference": 0.324997
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.553152,
      "fair_value_reference": 29.312687,
      "structural_low": 33.058426,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.018738,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": 0.037217,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.085467,
        "worst_return": -0.152092,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.022387,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.01213,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.018969,
        "worst_return": -0.16649,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.087808,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.08584,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.038962,
        "worst_return": -0.237038,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.065875,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.059828,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.18608,
        "worst_return": -0.19735,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2024-09-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.002352,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.119057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-10-10",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.04814,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "energy": 53.7148,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 40.639842,
        "volume": 1689851,
        "typical_volume": 2390443.0,
        "trend": 38.125371,
        "fair_value": 29.042953,
        "relative_strength": -1.495762,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.262007,
        "energy": 34.515193,
        "activity_lines": [
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          40.52304,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 39.990484,
        "volume": 1650829,
        "typical_volume": 2321555.4,
        "trend": 38.2561,
        "fair_value": 29.127231,
        "relative_strength": -1.592596,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 35.960369,
        "energy": 18.792482,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.009081,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 39.890582,
        "volume": 2882815,
        "typical_volume": 2332804.2,
        "trend": 38.378509,
        "fair_value": 29.220889,
        "relative_strength": -2.215896,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 29.894749,
        "energy": 19.178802,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.402743,
          41.20989,
          40.647945,
          39.691777
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 40.24,
        "volume": 2558290,
        "typical_volume": 2323455.65,
        "trend": 38.553152,
        "fair_value": 29.312687,
        "relative_strength": -5.950263,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.421173,
        "energy": 18.844395,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.225506,
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        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}