{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1c2f1618-f4ba-4218-bba3-6cd3fa9d679d",
    "symbol": "SGR",
    "name": "The Star Entertainment Group Limited",
    "exchange": "ASX",
    "country": "AU",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^AXJO",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Emerging rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 35.346,
    "architecture_energy": 44.273,
    "architecture_maturity": 27.324,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.971,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.88,
        "rotation_up": 69.29,
        "upward_expansion": 43.51,
        "deceleration": 41.96,
        "rotation_down": 16.7,
        "downward_expansion": 20.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.127667,
        0.116109,
        0.110814,
        0.112895
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 0.135,
    "trend_reference": 0.119667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.128134,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.285782,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.527611,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 11.923842,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.0,
    "excess_performance": -0.063706,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.128134,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.026044,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.527611,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.168521,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.119238,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.181578,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.0,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.184662,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 33756303,
      "relative_activity": 1.915894,
      "balance": 1.184662,
      "dry_up": 1.845899,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.104558,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.442337,
      "from_high_reference": -0.307692,
      "from_low_reference": 0.636364
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.119667,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.285782,
      "structural_low": 0.092,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.116438,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.116005,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.346154,
        "worst_return": -0.292308,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.307692,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.352374,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.038462,
        "worst_return": -0.563107,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.447059,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.460419,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.786408,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.760465,
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        "best_return": -0.372642,
        "worst_return": -0.821359,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "return": -0.08,
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      {
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      {
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        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.12,
        "volume": 28607306,
        "typical_volume": 16138560.9,
        "trend": 0.121833,
        "fair_value": 0.29685,
        "relative_strength": 6.491293,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -13.048322,
        "energy": 14.876318,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.14,
        "volume": 42352171,
        "typical_volume": 17465131.25,
        "trend": 0.120833,
        "fair_value": 0.291732,
        "relative_strength": 20.512037,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 23.187865,
        "energy": 34.289163,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.120267,
          0.110836,
          0.108433,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.135,
        "volume": 33756303,
        "typical_volume": 17619086.8,
        "trend": 0.119667,
        "fair_value": 0.285782,
        "relative_strength": 11.923842,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 35.345881,
        "energy": 44.273171,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}