{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1c377d28-7c41-4585-be64-130821273dc3",
    "symbol": "600982",
    "name": "Ningbo Energy Group Co.,Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 49.595,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -23.891,
    "architecture_energy": 18.361,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.496,
    "architecture_confidence": 71.854,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.08,
        "rotation_up": 28.09,
        "upward_expansion": 13.48,
        "deceleration": 64.46,
        "rotation_down": 39.67,
        "downward_expansion": 41.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        5.007333,
        5.008182,
        5.340032,
        5.365918
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 5.1,
    "trend_reference": 5.259269,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.030284,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.19951,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.214427,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.225595,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.120264,
    "excess_performance": 0.163467,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.030284,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046333,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.214427,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.29862,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.042256,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.157037,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.120264,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.53283,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 145548572,
      "relative_activity": 0.451917,
      "balance": 0.53283,
      "dry_up": 0.694537,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.128617,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.787128,
      "from_high_reference": -0.316449,
      "from_low_reference": 0.224961
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 5.259269,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.19951,
      "structural_low": 4.46,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.119177,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.098102,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.724391,
        "worst_return": 0.054196,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.154667,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.162863,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.3903,
        "worst_return": -0.130111,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.184527,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.240751,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.236278,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.338966,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.226028,
        "worst_return": 0.226028,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.221662,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
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      {
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      },
      {
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        "energy": 47.221708,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 327918382.5,
        "trend": 5.204953,
        "fair_value": 4.187945,
        "relative_strength": 1.793677,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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        "energy": 45.642363,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 5.08,
        "volume": 185983977,
        "typical_volume": 324190298.55,
        "trend": 5.229995,
        "fair_value": 4.192993,
        "relative_strength": 6.762302,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.275624,
        "energy": 23.034353,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 5.1,
        "volume": 145548572,
        "typical_volume": 322069447.15,
        "trend": 5.259269,
        "fair_value": 4.19951,
        "relative_strength": 4.225595,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.890651,
        "energy": 18.361151,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}