{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1c5d728e-1fa1-463d-8d38-2b928210744d",
    "symbol": "FLUO",
    "name": "FluoGuide A/S",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 95.429,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -45.334,
    "architecture_energy": 71.489,
    "architecture_maturity": 18.681,
    "architecture_confidence": 77.081,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.15,
        "rotation_up": 16.12,
        "upward_expansion": 24.07,
        "deceleration": 43.03,
        "rotation_down": 75.86,
        "downward_expansion": 65.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        32.213333,
        35.465454,
        38.515238,
        38.651828
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 31.1,
    "trend_reference": 38.09,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.183513,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 47.40641,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.343971,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -28.913351,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.101156,
    "excess_performance": -0.16265,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.183513,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.001753,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.343971,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.179615,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.289134,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.270531,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101156,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.142771,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 45581,
      "relative_activity": 1.499543,
      "balance": 0.142771,
      "dry_up": 1.900023,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.137769,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.674746,
      "from_high_reference": -0.346639,
      "from_low_reference": 0.110714
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 38.09,
      "fair_value_reference": 47.40641,
      "structural_low": 28.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.02445,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.099691,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.02445,
        "worst_return": -0.02445,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.022005,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.139431,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.022005,
        "worst_return": -0.022005,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.080685,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.108067,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.080685,
        "worst_return": 0.080685,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.05379,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.419218,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.05379,
        "worst_return": -0.05379,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-08-18",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.162996,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.52459,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032692,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.172345,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.166473,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.031785,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.037879,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-12-19",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.179907,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-12-26",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.20442,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.089474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-15",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.007009,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-22",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.021687,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.121622,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.012698,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
      {
        "date": "2023-08-18",
        "close": 90.800003,
        "volume": 32955,
        "typical_volume": 28132.5,
        "trend": 87.666666,
        "fair_value": 77.82532,
        "relative_strength": 28.834905,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 0.297758,
        "energy": 8.318951,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-08-25",
        "close": 88.800003,
        "volume": 33188,
        "typical_volume": 28580.1,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-01",
        "close": 95.0,
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        "typical_volume": 27100.9,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2023-09-22",
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        "volume": 17754,
        "typical_volume": 25290.3,
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        "energy": 11.190505,
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          37.273978
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 40.900002,
        "volume": 26915,
        "typical_volume": 40655.25,
        "trend": 38.043333,
        "fair_value": 51.498718,
        "relative_strength": -6.113781,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.216332,
        "energy": 35.346459,
        "activity_lines": [
          41.000001,
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          37.691429,
          37.460215
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 42.799999,
        "volume": 27647,
        "typical_volume": 37851.1,
        "trend": 37.996667,
        "fair_value": 51.217949,
        "relative_strength": -1.860285,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.070848,
        "energy": 41.605687,
        "activity_lines": [
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          38.281429,
          37.767097
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 42.5,
        "volume": 15864,
        "typical_volume": 37137.45,
        "trend": 37.916666,
        "fair_value": 50.923718,
        "relative_strength": -1.063193,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.552682,
        "energy": 44.993392,
        "activity_lines": [
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          38.057634
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 41.5,
        "volume": 14360,
        "typical_volume": 36331.25,
        "trend": 37.913333,
        "fair_value": 50.637179,
        "relative_strength": -6.240622,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.616415,
        "energy": 36.569172,
        "activity_lines": [
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          39.205714,
          38.288817
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 43.799999,
        "volume": 22987,
        "typical_volume": 35915.25,
        "trend": 38.023333,
        "fair_value": 50.378205,
        "relative_strength": -0.411134,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "energy": 39.17869,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.6,
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          38.668602
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 46.200001,
        "volume": 2237,
        "typical_volume": 34853.5,
        "trend": 38.1,
        "fair_value": 50.11282,
        "relative_strength": 6.037682,
        "stage": 1,
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        "direction": 64.816773,
        "energy": 44.817723,
        "activity_lines": [
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          39.196129
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 44.099998,
        "volume": 1236,
        "typical_volume": 32713.15,
        "trend": 38.146666,
        "fair_value": 49.853205,
        "relative_strength": 1.614515,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "volume": 18812,
        "typical_volume": 31390.55,
        "trend": 38.37,
        "fair_value": 49.571795,
        "relative_strength": 1.593888,
        "stage": 1,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 59.690386,
        "energy": 55.44284,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 41.700001,
        "volume": 4814,
        "typical_volume": 29982.3,
        "trend": 38.526666,
        "fair_value": 49.309615,
        "relative_strength": -4.46043,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 53.777388,
        "energy": 41.224559,
        "activity_lines": [
          43.773334,
          43.465455,
          41.866667,
          40.233763
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 40.599998,
        "volume": 3750,
        "typical_volume": 28950.4,
        "trend": 38.576666,
        "fair_value": 49.044231,
        "relative_strength": -9.126749,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 38.336412,
        "energy": 20.917472,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.593333,
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          41.925238,
          40.367527
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.0,
        "volume": 37397,
        "typical_volume": 28375.35,
        "trend": 38.573333,
        "fair_value": 48.745513,
        "relative_strength": -14.895245,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 10.44409,
        "energy": 13.310631,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.426666,
          41.934545,
          41.605238,
          40.265806
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.599998,
        "volume": 101864,
        "typical_volume": 31804.65,
        "trend": 38.523333,
        "fair_value": 48.436538,
        "relative_strength": -21.367668,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -32.585278,
        "energy": 32.970572,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.739999,
          40.314545,
          40.960476,
          39.944946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 32.5,
        "volume": 59336,
        "typical_volume": 34062.45,
        "trend": 38.4,
        "fair_value": 48.147436,
        "relative_strength": -24.4293,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -35.840006,
        "energy": 52.313131,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.386666,
          38.661818,
          40.221428,
          39.556344
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 31.5,
        "volume": 24236,
        "typical_volume": 32624.25,
        "trend": 38.22,
        "fair_value": 47.822436,
        "relative_strength": -27.137694,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -38.638965,
        "energy": 66.341891,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.526666,
          37.009091,
          39.390476,
          39.111183
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 31.1,
        "volume": 45581,
        "typical_volume": 30396.6,
        "trend": 38.09,
        "fair_value": 47.40641,
        "relative_strength": -28.913351,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -45.333986,
        "energy": 71.489408,
        "activity_lines": [
          32.213333,
          35.465454,
          38.515238,
          38.651828
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}