{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1c66c9eb-1acb-488d-a1a2-78ab4cb7e5d2", "symbol": "HGS", "name": "Hinduja Global Solutions Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 55.597, "architecture_energy": 37.012, "architecture_maturity": 28.486, "architecture_confidence": 84.059, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.36, "rotation_up": 52.02, "upward_expansion": 78.28, "deceleration": 54.03, "rotation_down": 18.98, "downward_expansion": 4.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 425.173326, 423.071813, 419.37857, 411.866021 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 428.399994, "trend_reference": 405.653335, "distance_from_trend": 0.056074, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 662.255594, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.35312, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -2.600217, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.041196, "excess_performance": 0.084905, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.056074, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037337, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.35312, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.024842, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.026002, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003108, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.041196, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 3.783763, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 146783, "relative_activity": 0.738004, "balance": 3.783763, "dry_up": 2.933618, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.052584, "annualized_volatility": 0.318165, "from_high_reference": -0.229496, "from_low_reference": 0.252448 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 405.653335, "fair_value_reference": 662.255594, "structural_low": 342.049988, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.017254, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.022431, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.158585, "worst_return": -0.219045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.169948, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.139267, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.001887, "worst_return": -0.202613, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.167642, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.201649, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.05369, "worst_return": -0.181883, 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422.829993, 421.484542, 417.578571, 410.405269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 428.399994, "volume": 146783, "typical_volume": 198891.8, "trend": 405.653335, "fair_value": 662.255594, "relative_strength": -2.600217, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.597368, "energy": 37.011852, "activity_lines": [ 425.173326, 423.071813, 419.37857, 411.866021 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }