{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1c6d134c-29e2-4f51-b732-8e67b2893d26", "symbol": "XESC", "name": "Xtrackers Euro Stoxx 50 UCITS ETF 1C", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.824, "architecture_energy": 58.352, "architecture_maturity": 33.304, "architecture_confidence": 88.776, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.34, "rotation_up": 59.12, "upward_expansion": 81.71, "deceleration": 56.97, "rotation_down": 23.74, "downward_expansion": 8.38 }, "activity_lines": [ 9707.0, 9653.145455, 9482.6, 9333.188172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 9969.0, "trend_reference": 9192.05, "distance_from_trend": 0.084524, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 7626.846154, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.307093, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.308178, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.095856, "excess_performance": 0.04462, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.084524, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03202, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.307093, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076019, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.033082, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.032004, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.095856, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.966123, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 47348, "relative_activity": 1.013028, "balance": 2.966123, "dry_up": 0.760199, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.024406, "annualized_volatility": 0.181296, "from_high_reference": -0.006082, "from_low_reference": 0.250816 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9192.05, "fair_value_reference": 7626.846154, "structural_low": 8152.0, "invalidation": 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9561.133333, 9518.972727, 9320.552381, 9217.539785 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9552.0, "volume": 48110, "typical_volume": 57071.6, "trend": 9135.783333, "fair_value": 7579.522436, "relative_strength": 0.624011, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.199413, "energy": 44.865589, "activity_lines": [ 9545.0, 9539.963636, 9361.469048, 9246.096774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9679.0, "volume": 17040, "typical_volume": 51813.4, "trend": 9162.3, "fair_value": 7602.182692, "relative_strength": 0.666145, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.806772, "energy": 43.342905, "activity_lines": [ 9581.666667, 9574.236364, 9410.72619, 9281.143011 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9969.0, "volume": 47348, "typical_volume": 46739.1, "trend": 9192.05, "fair_value": 7626.846154, "relative_strength": 3.308178, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.82417, "energy": 58.35152, "activity_lines": [ 9707.0, 9653.145455, 9482.6, 9333.188172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }