{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1c7278f1-a184-4740-98ec-acc7d6bbc398", "symbol": "000719", "name": "Central China Land Media CO.,LTD", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 82.612, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -24.645, "architecture_energy": 24.43, "architecture_maturity": 68.069, "architecture_confidence": 58.394, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 52.46, "rotation_up": 38.74, "upward_expansion": 20.5, "deceleration": 44.04, "rotation_down": 18.26, "downward_expansion": 52.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.267333, 11.91887, 12.153997, 12.399272 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 12.13, "trend_reference": 12.613906, "distance_from_trend": -0.038363, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.129143, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.089931, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -6.170068, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.050861, "excess_performance": -0.05826, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.038363, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006872, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.089931, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094641, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.061701, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.100211, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.050861, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.522532, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27528870, "relative_activity": 0.9833, "balance": 0.522532, "dry_up": 0.987498, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.068138, "annualized_volatility": 0.304871, "from_high_reference": -0.168609, "from_low_reference": 0.142266 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.613906, "fair_value_reference": 11.129143, "structural_low": 10.61924, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.053014, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.024936, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.179458, "worst_return": -0.1265, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.059738, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.084197, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.174097, "worst_return": -0.019019, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.068824, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.108974, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.392308, "worst_return": 0.022449, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"direction": -63.922083, "energy": 75.38502, "activity_lines": [ 11.211752, 11.611022, 12.259705, 12.470301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.0, "volume": 23411177, "typical_volume": 30919181.25, "trend": 12.56424, "fair_value": 11.074324, "relative_strength": -4.813547, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.406502, "energy": 53.959036, "activity_lines": [ 11.464602, 11.612257, 12.197671, 12.43392 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 12.27, "volume": 32672331, "typical_volume": 29944244.85, "trend": 12.57124, "fair_value": 11.092468, "relative_strength": -2.548181, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.412232, "energy": 26.192481, "activity_lines": [ 11.782616, 11.682192, 12.168446, 12.414937 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.8, "volume": 26973261, "typical_volume": 28864754.65, "trend": 12.601573, "fair_value": 11.111721, "relative_strength": 3.603456, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -18.593752, "energy": 20.030915, "activity_lines": [ 12.209333, 11.861992, 12.192936, 12.429696 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.13, "volume": 27528870, "typical_volume": 27996422.9, "trend": 12.613906, "fair_value": 11.129143, "relative_strength": -6.170068, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.644932, "energy": 24.430009, "activity_lines": [ 12.267333, 11.91887, 12.153997, 12.399272 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }