{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "1c8b3903-f663-48a6-b465-04e48bb48c7d",
    "symbol": "HTA-B",
    "name": "Harvest Tech Leaders Income ETF Class B Unhedged",
    "exchange": "TOR",
    "country": "CA",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^GSPTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.545,
    "architecture_energy": 40.85,
    "architecture_maturity": 73.375,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.956,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 27.19,
        "rotation_up": 35.58,
        "upward_expansion": 62.65,
        "deceleration": 88.33,
        "rotation_down": 27.91,
        "downward_expansion": 23.99
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        24.368216,
        24.568437,
        23.908896,
        22.863381
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 25.549999,
    "trend_reference": 21.658287,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.179687,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 17.508618,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.459281,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 9.465363,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.332379,
    "excess_performance": 0.211958,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.179687,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.079273,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.459281,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.167291,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094654,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111529,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.332379,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.128325,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1153,
      "relative_activity": 3.073028,
      "balance": 1.128325,
      "dry_up": 1.761061,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.040509,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.283776,
      "from_high_reference": -0.008943,
      "from_low_reference": 0.377476
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 21.658287,
      "fair_value_reference": 17.508618,
      "structural_low": 18.548414,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.004558,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.003132,
        "regime_survival": 0.416667,
        "best_return": 0.103516,
        "worst_return": -0.108198,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.055307,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.041063,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.167785,
        "worst_return": -0.071545,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.151867,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.046715,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.263971,
        "worst_return": -0.049149,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.148664,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.060503,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.331951,
        "worst_return": -0.184819,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-02-14",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.080723,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.103467,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.183655,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.011671,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.031085,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-08-15",
        "end": "2025-11-28",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.05567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010063,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-02-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.00355,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.030318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.013137,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-07-24",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": true
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        "trend": 19.650484,
        "fair_value": 16.331069,
        "relative_strength": -1.392342,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.083631,
        "energy": 32.164371,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.679793,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 21.277668,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2438.35,
        "trend": 19.701147,
        "fair_value": 16.400531,
        "relative_strength": -1.201983,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 51.309918,
        "energy": 57.222936,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 2049.9,
        "trend": 19.752754,
        "fair_value": 16.468905,
        "relative_strength": -1.687583,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 82.877351,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 2060.6,
        "trend": 19.857198,
        "fair_value": 16.5455,
        "relative_strength": 7.491579,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "direction": 96.770076,
        "energy": 98.847324,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 1360.6,
        "trend": 19.941496,
        "fair_value": 16.617128,
        "relative_strength": 4.866047,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 92.566923,
        "energy": 97.379398,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 744.75,
        "trend": 20.067474,
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        "relative_strength": 10.039948,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 99.365671,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 23.981678,
        "volume": 244,
        "typical_volume": 690.7,
        "trend": 20.198604,
        "fair_value": 16.777903,
        "relative_strength": 9.380134,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 83.833034,
        "energy": 94.210945,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 24.250019,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 651.65,
        "trend": 20.342162,
        "fair_value": 16.856666,
        "relative_strength": 8.808147,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 618.6,
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        "relative_strength": 14.654296,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 77.902213,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 25.691587,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 602.95,
        "trend": 20.751206,
        "fair_value": 17.035318,
        "relative_strength": 14.693311,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.485476,
        "energy": 75.45578,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.069777,
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          21.580769
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 24.768,
        "volume": 409,
        "typical_volume": 471.3,
        "trend": 20.902742,
        "fair_value": 17.118693,
        "relative_strength": 9.644621,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.451286,
        "energy": 68.530425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 25.353931,
        "volume": 851,
        "typical_volume": 452.0,
        "trend": 21.087514,
        "fair_value": 17.203117,
        "relative_strength": 11.937544,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.938984,
        "energy": 69.495811,
        "activity_lines": [
          25.228626,
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          22.127091
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 23.923862,
        "volume": 1379,
        "typical_volume": 520.95,
        "trend": 21.232584,
        "fair_value": 17.277772,
        "relative_strength": 5.743869,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.207804,
        "energy": 63.678569,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.823579,
          24.699331,
          23.337127,
          22.310081
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 23.923862,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 346.55,
        "trend": 21.377655,
        "fair_value": 17.352624,
        "relative_strength": 5.391207,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 52.12496,
        "energy": 53.445192,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.440276,
          24.612322,
          23.522255,
          22.483712
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 23.200001,
        "volume": 111,
        "typical_volume": 339.2,
        "trend": 21.487467,
        "fair_value": 17.423089,
        "relative_strength": 2.747802,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.45673,
        "energy": 38.264754,
        "activity_lines": [
          23.929527,
          24.37887,
          23.613927,
          22.601282
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 25.549999,
        "volume": 1153,
        "typical_volume": 375.2,
        "trend": 21.658287,
        "fair_value": 17.508618,
        "relative_strength": 9.465363,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.544841,
        "energy": 40.849925,
        "activity_lines": [
          24.368216,
          24.568437,
          23.908896,
          22.863381
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}