{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1c9fe0e0-e0f5-49bc-86fa-05de7c7fb8fe", "symbol": "PLMK", "name": "Plum Acquisition Corp. IV Class A Ordinary Shares", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 68.844, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 11.255, "architecture_energy": 8.186, "architecture_maturity": 10.607, "architecture_confidence": 70.219, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.61, "rotation_up": 25.82, "upward_expansion": 41.46, "deceleration": 80.39, "rotation_down": 30.11, "downward_expansion": 33.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 10.589333, 10.614, 10.620685, 10.605373 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 10.57, "trend_reference": 10.580003, "distance_from_trend": -0.000945, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 10.369684, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.019317, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.06548, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.002371, "excess_performance": -0.185083, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.000945, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00615, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.019317, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.008396, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.120655, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033303, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.002371, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.853943, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 20281, "relative_activity": 0.076703, "balance": 1.853943, "dry_up": 0.143016, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.025871, "annualized_volatility": 0.019328, "from_high_reference": -0.119167, "from_low_reference": 0.029211 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.580003, "fair_value_reference": 10.369684, "structural_low": 10.48, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-08-07", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2025-01-31", "close": 9.9697, "volume": 264101, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-07", "close": 9.96, "volume": 1466413, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2025-02-14", "close": 9.98, "volume": 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null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 10.66, "volume": 70941, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 10.59, "volume": 44378, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 10.61, "volume": 27108, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 10.58, "volume": 59491, "typical_volume": null, "trend": null, "fair_value": null, "relative_strength": null, "stage": null, "regime": null, "modifier": null, "gate": null, "direction": null, "energy": null, "activity_lines": [ null, null, null, null ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 10.57, "volume": 20281, "typical_volume": 264408.2, "trend": 10.580003, "fair_value": 10.369684, "relative_strength": -12.06548, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "up", "direction": 11.255099, "energy": 8.185696, "activity_lines": [ 10.589333, 10.614, 10.620685, 10.605373 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }