{ "ticker": { "uuid": "1ca01521-2e0b-44ba-b504-b2ca4df4b5a5", "symbol": "6241", "name": "Amigo Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 91.003, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 47.991, "architecture_energy": 35.408, "architecture_maturity": 51.946, "architecture_confidence": 51.378, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.18, "rotation_up": 46.09, "upward_expansion": 68.44, "deceleration": 62.31, "rotation_down": 23.51, "downward_expansion": 16.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 15.456667, 15.580909, 14.09119, 13.328172 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 13.8, "trend_reference": 12.679333, "distance_from_trend": 0.088385, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 13.792179, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.000567, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -21.132147, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.117409, "excess_performance": -0.323963, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088385, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097366, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.000567, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.218136, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.211321, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.199869, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.117409, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.617574, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1660232, "relative_activity": 0.909398, "balance": 2.617574, "dry_up": 1.087839, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.158863, "annualized_volatility": 0.618016, "from_high_reference": -0.277487, "from_low_reference": 0.614035 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 12.679333, "fair_value_reference": 13.792179, "structural_low": 8.55, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.027667, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.048695, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.31295, "worst_return": -0.212054, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.066974, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.123272, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.039568, "worst_return": -0.122616, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.093277, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.146404, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.902655, "worst_return": -0.648837, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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1489791.05, "trend": 12.307667, "fair_value": 13.747308, "relative_strength": -0.360031, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 79.901144, "energy": 85.132173, "activity_lines": [ 15.84, 14.503091, 12.870571, 12.511978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.200001, "volume": 2745669, "typical_volume": 1611823.55, "trend": 12.431, "fair_value": 13.759808, "relative_strength": -5.310254, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.427988, "energy": 68.985637, "activity_lines": [ 16.08, 15.028727, 13.259476, 12.763097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.75, "volume": 1851533, "typical_volume": 1687899.35, "trend": 12.549333, "fair_value": 13.778077, "relative_strength": -0.173159, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.24505, "energy": 57.55257, "activity_lines": [ 16.38, 15.556182, 13.679333, 13.041742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.85, "volume": 1686573, "typical_volume": 1754277.8, "trend": 12.661, "fair_value": 13.791538, "relative_strength": -7.145478, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.174844, "energy": 51.029856, "activity_lines": [ 16.28, 15.809091, 13.991333, 13.254688 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 13.8, "volume": 1660232, "typical_volume": 1825638.6, "trend": 12.679333, "fair_value": 13.792179, "relative_strength": -21.132147, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 47.991093, "energy": 35.407935, "activity_lines": [ 15.456667, 15.580909, 14.09119, 13.328172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }